Indian stocks: Visit www.stage2stocks.com →

Toll Brothers, Inc.

Stage 4 · Declining · week 4

As of Oct 22, 2026, Toll Brothers is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in week 4 (since Sep 28, 2026). It closed at $141.08, 14.6% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is falling.

Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. More about the company

$141.08
+4.46% today
$13.0B · Large cap
Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Steady

Edge

—

Is TOL early, or has it already run? Pro answers that for every US stock we cover, after every close.

Get Pro · $19 a month

Renews monthly until you cancel. Cancel any time in Plan & billing.

Loading price chart…
Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22
S2 29w
S2 21w
S4 18w
S2 14w
2023-08-162026-10-22
S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)
S2 6w → S3 8w → S2 29w → S3 6w → S2 21w → S3 8w → S4 18w → S1 9w → S2 12w → S3 5w → S2 14w → S3 6w → S4 5w → S1 1w → S2 11w → S3 2w → S4 4w current
Total tracked: 165 weeks across 17 stage runs.

TOL among Residential Construction3rd of 19 by relative strength

All 19 →
Stocks in Residential Construction ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#StockStageRS1M
1LEGHStage 2 · wk 1967−2.2%
2SKYStage 3 · wk 157−6.7%
3TOLStage 4 · wk 457+4.5%
4PHMStage 4 · wk 352+0.6%
5CVCOStage 3 · wk 750+1.0%
6GRBKStage 4 · wk 350−3.4%
7DHIStage 4 · wk 749+5.3%
8MTHStage 4 · wk 448−0.4%
vs 52W High
-14.6%
$123.68 lo$165.20 hi
14.6% below 52W high, failed near resistance
In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.
Stage Maturity
Week 4
1w13w26w
Week 4, early Stage 4 decline
How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.
vs 200 DMA
-1.8%
200 DMA: $143.60 · sloping down
In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.
Rel Volume
1.48x
vs 50-day avg
High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.
Trend Health
→
Short-term trend flat
Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.
1M
+4.5%
3M
-5.7%
6M
-5.1%
YTD
+4.8%
1Y
+3.0%
Scan Membership
Breakout Watch
Latest: 2024-07-25
8 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2019-03-01.
A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.
Recent Stage Timeline
2026-10-22S4
Wk 4 · Vol 1.48x
2026-10-21S4
Wk 4 · Vol 0.98x
2026-10-20S4
Wk 4 · Vol 1.02x
2026-10-19S4
Wk 4 · Vol 0.92x
2026-10-16S4
Wk 3 · Vol 1.29x
2026-10-15S4
Wk 3 · Vol 1.18x
2026-10-14S4
Wk 3 · Vol 1.13x
2026-10-13S4
Wk 3 · Vol 0.73x
2026-10-12S4
Wk 3 · Vol 0.80x
2026-10-09S4
Wk 2 · Vol 0.69x
2026-10-08S4
Wk 2 · Vol 1.17x
2026-10-07S4
Wk 2 · Vol 1.08x
Moving averages & range
50 DMA
$138.23
200 DMA
$143.60
52W High
$165.20
52W Low
$123.68
5D Low
$131.12
Resistance levels (recent highs)
20d High
$141.08
60d High
$154.79
120d High
$164.27
250d High
$165.20
Next resistance
+9.7%
to 60d High
P/E (TTM)
11.4
Forward 10.3
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.4%
Revenue -9.7%
ROE
+14.4%
Profit margin +11.1%
Dividend Yield
0.77%
P/B 1.5

Toll Brothers: quick answers

What stage is Toll Brothers in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Toll Brothers (TOL) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on Sep 28, 2026 and is in week 4. What the four stages mean

Is Toll Brothers in an uptrend?

No. Toll Brothers is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 1.8% below its 200-day average, which is falling.

How far is Toll Brothers from its 52-week high?

Toll Brothers closed at $141.08 on Oct 22, 2026, 14.6% below its 52-week high of $165.20. Its 52-week low is $123.68.

How has Toll Brothers performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Toll Brothers is up 3.0% over the past year and up 4.8% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is Toll Brothers in?

Toll Brothers is in the Residential Construction industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector.

About this companyConsumer Discretionary· Residential Construction

Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. It designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. The company also develops a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs, as well as communities with recreational amenities, such as golf courses, marinas, pool complexes, country clubs, and fitness and recreation centers; and develops, operates, rents apartments and student housing communities. In addition, it provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, the company owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and component manufacturing operations. It serves luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.

Visit company website →

All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.