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Firefly Aerospace Inc.

Stage 4 · Declining · week 1

As of Oct 22, 2026, Firefly Aerospace is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in its first week (since Oct 20, 2026). It closed at $17.52, 70.2% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is falling.

Firefly Aerospace Inc. operates as a space and defense technology company and provides mission solutions for national security, government, and commercial customers in United States. More about the company

$17.52
-0.76% today
$2.9B · Mid cap
Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Steady

Edge

—

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Loading price chart…
Stage Cycle Timeline2025-08-07 → 2026-10-22
S? 41w
S2 6w
S3 6w
S4 9w
2025-08-072026-10-22
S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)
S? 41w → S2 6w → S3 6w → S4 9w → S1 1w → S4 1w current
Total tracked: 63 weeks across 6 stage runs.

FLY among Aerospace & Defense54th of 96 by relative strength

All 96 →
Stocks in Aerospace & Defense ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#StockStageRS1M
1DUKRStage 4 · wk 299−21.6%
2SIFStage 3 · wk 698−6.0%
3CVUStage 2 · wk 2094−5.9%
4IAStage 1 · wk 791+7.4%
5DCOStage 3 · wk 591−7.2%
6MOG-AStage 3 · wk 791−8.9%
7MOG-BStage 3 · wk 689−12.3%
8POWWStage 2 · wk 189+3.5%
…54FLYStage 4 · wk 129−20.0%
vs 52W High
-70.2%
$16.31 lo$58.81 hi
70.2% below 52W high, deep Stage 4 damage
In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.
Stage Maturity
Week 1
1w13w26w
Week 1, early Stage 4 decline
How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.
vs 200 DMA
-36.3%
200 DMA: $27.50 · sloping down
In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.
Rel Volume
0.83x
vs 50-day avg
High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.
Trend Health
↓
Short-term trend rolling over
Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.
1M
-20.0%
3M
-11.0%
6M
-54.5%
YTD
-26.3%
1Y
-37.8%
Scan Membership
Not in any current scan.
Recent Stage Timeline
2026-10-22S4
Wk 1 · Vol 0.83x
2026-10-21S4
Wk 1 · Vol 0.86x
2026-10-20S41→4
Wk 1 · Vol 0.66x
2026-10-19S1
Wk 2 · Vol 0.72x
2026-10-16S1
Wk 1 · Vol 1.02x
2026-10-15S1
Wk 1 · Vol 1.13x
2026-10-14S1
Wk 1 · Vol 1.18x
2026-10-13S1
Wk 1 · Vol 1.01x
2026-10-12S14→1
Wk 1 · Vol 0.55x
2026-10-09S4
Wk 9 · Vol 0.92x
2026-10-08S4
Wk 9 · Vol 1.15x
2026-10-07S4
Wk 9 · Vol 1.02x
Moving averages & range
50 DMA
$21.70
200 DMA
$27.50
52W High
$58.81
52W Low
$16.31
5D Low
$16.31
Resistance levels (recent highs)
20d High
$24.36
60d High
$27.18
120d High
$58.81
250d High
$58.81
Next resistance
+39.0%
to 20d High
ROE
-58.0%
Profit margin -129.1%
Dividend Yield
0.00%
P/B 2.4

Firefly Aerospace: quick answers

What stage is Firefly Aerospace in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Firefly Aerospace (FLY) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on Oct 20, 2026 and is in its first week there. What the four stages mean

Is Firefly Aerospace in an uptrend?

No. Firefly Aerospace is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 36.3% below its 200-day average, which is falling.

How far is Firefly Aerospace from its 52-week high?

Firefly Aerospace closed at $17.52 on Oct 22, 2026, 70.2% below its 52-week high of $58.81. Its 52-week low is $16.31.

How has Firefly Aerospace performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Firefly Aerospace is down 37.8% over the past year and down 26.3% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is Firefly Aerospace in?

Firefly Aerospace is in the Aerospace & Defense industry, part of the Industrials sector.

About this companyIndustrials· Aerospace & Defense

Firefly Aerospace Inc. operates as a space and defense technology company and provides mission solutions for national security, government, and commercial customers in United States. The company offers integrated launch and space services technology that is committed to enabling launch, transit, and operations in space. It also provides Launch solutions, such as Alpha, a responsive launch services; and Eclipse, a medium-lift launch vehicles. In addition, the company offers spacecraft solutions platforms, including Blue Ghost, a lunar delivery and operation service; and Elytra, which provides space maneuverability and servicing. Further, it provides software and sensor solutions; national security software and big data processing capabilities; and responsive space services, as well as Ocula, a lunar imaging service. Firefly Aerospace Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Leander, Texas.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.