CCL· Consumer Discretionary› Travel Services

Carnival Corporation Ltd.

Stage 4 · Declining · week 8

As of Oct 22, 2026, Carnival is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in week 8 (since Aug 28, 2026). It closed at $27.08, 19.0% below its 52-week high and above its 200-day average, which is falling.

Carnival Corporation Ltd., a cruise company, provides leisure travel services. More about the company

$27.08

-0.81% today

$36.4B · Large cap

Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Accelerating ⇈

Edge

—

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22

S2 20w

S2 15w

2023-08-162026-10-22

S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)

S2 4w → S3 9w → S4 3w → S1 1w → S2 11w → S3 7w → S4 2w → S3 2w → S4 6w → S2 8w → S3 7w → S2 20w → S3 7w → S4 6w → S1 4w → S2 15w → S3 12w → S2 10w → S3 2w → S4 10w → S1 8w → S2 3w → S1 1w → S4 8w current

Total tracked: 164 weeks across 24 stage runs.

CCL among Travel Services8th of 17 by relative strength

All 17 →

Stocks in Travel Services ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#	Stock	Stage	RS	1M
1	LINDLindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc.	Stage 2 · wk 21	98	+29.5%
2	PRSUPursuit Attractions and Hospitality, Inc.	Stage 2 · wk 1	87	+17.1%
3	VIKViking Holdings Ltd	Stage 3 · wk 7	81	+5.9%
4	ABNBAirbnb, Inc. Class A	Stage 2 · wk 26	80	+17.5%
5	EXPEExpedia Group, Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 2	78	+15.2%
6	TNLTravel Leisure Co. Common Stock	Stage 4 · wk 4	66	+6.7%
7	RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.	Stage 4 · wk 5	48	+24.2%
8	CCLCarnival Corporation Ltd.	Stage 4 · wk 8	48	+24.2%

vs 52W High

-19.0%

$21.79 lo$33.45 hi

19.0% below 52W high, ongoing decline

In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.

Stage Maturity

Week 8

1w13w26w

Week 8, established downtrend

How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.

vs 200 DMA

0.3%

200 DMA: $26.99 · sloping down

In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.

Rel Volume

0.82x

vs 50-day avg

High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.

Trend Health

↑ ⇈

Short-term trend rising strongly, and accelerating

Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.

+24.2%

+3.4%

+2.8%

YTD

-11.0%

-8.2%

Scan Membership

Breakout Watch

Latest: 2024-10-09

7 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2020-01-21.

A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.

Recent Stage Timeline

2026-10-22S4

Wk 8 · Vol 0.82x

2026-10-21S4

Wk 8 · Vol 0.80x

2026-10-20S4

Wk 8 · Vol 1.00x

2026-10-19S4

Wk 8 · Vol 0.85x

2026-10-16S4

Wk 7 · Vol 1.05x

2026-10-15S4

Wk 7 · Vol 0.86x

2026-10-14S4

Wk 7 · Vol 0.81x

2026-10-13S4

Wk 7 · Vol 0.69x

2026-10-12S4

Wk 7 · Vol 0.59x

2026-10-09S4

Wk 6 · Vol 0.66x

2026-10-08S4

Wk 6 · Vol 1.08x

2026-10-07S4

Wk 6 · Vol 0.67x

Moving averages & range

50 DMA

$24.79

200 DMA

$26.99

52W High

$33.45

52W Low

$21.79

5D Low

$25.90

Resistance levels (recent highs)

20d High

$27.30

60d High

$29.52

120d High

$30.74

250d High

$33.45

Next resistance

+0.8%

to 20d High

P/E (TTM)

11.9

Forward 10.5

Earnings Growth (YoY)

+5.0%

Revenue +3.5%

ROE

+24.0%

Profit margin +11.4%

Dividend Yield

1.65%

P/B 2.6

Carnival: quick answers

What stage is Carnival in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Carnival (CCL) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on Aug 28, 2026 and is in week 8. What the four stages mean

Is Carnival in an uptrend?

No. Carnival is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 0.3% above its 200-day average, which is falling.

How far is Carnival from its 52-week high?

Carnival closed at $27.08 on Oct 22, 2026, 19.0% below its 52-week high of $33.45. Its 52-week low is $21.79.

How has Carnival performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Carnival is down 8.2% over the past year and down 11.0% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is Carnival in?

Carnival is in the Travel Services industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector.

About this companyConsumer Discretionary· Travel Services

Carnival Corporation Ltd., a cruise company, provides leisure travel services. The company operates through four segments: North America Cruise Operations, Europe Cruise Operations, Cruise Support, and Tour and Other. It operates port destinations and islands, as well as owns and operates hotels, lodges, glass-domed railcars, and motorcoaches. The company offers its services under the AIDA Cruises, Carnival Cruise Line, Costa Cruises, Cunard, Holland America Line, P&O Cruises (Australia), P&O Cruises (UK), Princess Cruises, and Seabourn brands. It sells its cruises through travel agents, tour operators, vacation planners, websites, and onboard future cruise consultants. Carnival Corporation Ltd. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.