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Novartis AG

Stage 4 · Declining · week 3

As of Oct 22, 2026, Novartis is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in week 3 (since Oct 7, 2026). It closed at $156.27, 4.5% below its 52-week high and above its 200-day average, which is rising.

Novartis AG researches, develops, manufactures, distributes, markets, and sells pharmaceutical medicines in Switzerland and internationally. More about the company

$156.27
+1.52% today
$297B · Large cap
Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Accelerating ⇈

Edge

—

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22
S2 25w
S2 57w
2023-08-162026-10-22
S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)
S2 8w → S3 7w → S4 5w → S1 3w → S2 9w → S3 7w → S2 25w → S3 6w → S4 9w → S1 5w → S2 57w → S3 9w → S2 10w → S3 3w → S4 2w current
Total tracked: 166 weeks across 15 stage runs.

NVS among Drug Manufacturers - General11th of 21 by relative strength

All 21 →
Stocks in Drug Manufacturers - General ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#StockStageRS1M
1MRKStage 2 · wk 1692−0.6%
2BIIBStage 2 · wk 2192+11.6%
3LLYStage 2 · wk 190+13.5%
4AMGNStage 2 · wk 1687+10.1%
5OGNStage 2 · wk 2387+0.1%
6BMYStage 3 · wk 185+4.1%
7JNJStage 2 · wk 1683−0.6%
8PFEStage 2 · wk 877+7.9%
…11NVSStage 4 · wk 372+9.5%
vs 52W High
-4.5%
$118.20 lo$163.64 hi
4.5% below 52W high, failed near resistance
In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.
Stage Maturity
Week 3
1w13w26w
Week 3, early Stage 4 decline
How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.
vs 200 DMA
3.9%
200 DMA: $150.40 · rising
In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.
Rel Volume
1.02x
vs 50-day avg
High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.
Trend Health
↑ ⇈
Short-term trend rising strongly, and accelerating
Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.
1M
+9.5%
3M
+0.8%
6M
+6.0%
YTD
+16.2%
1Y
+22.6%
Scan Membership
Breakout Watch
Latest: 2025-03-31
14 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2018-10-16.
A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.
Recent Stage Timeline
2026-10-22S4
Wk 3 · Vol 1.02x
2026-10-21S4
Wk 3 · Vol 0.50x
2026-10-20S4
Wk 2 · Vol 0.67x
2026-10-19S4
Wk 2 · Vol 0.92x
2026-10-16S4
Wk 2 · Vol 0.86x
2026-10-15S4
Wk 2 · Vol 1.05x
2026-10-14S4
Wk 2 · Vol 0.83x
2026-10-13S4
Wk 1 · Vol 0.93x
2026-10-12S4
Wk 1 · Vol 0.58x
2026-10-09S4
Wk 1 · Vol 0.95x
2026-10-08S4
Wk 1 · Vol 0.77x
2026-10-07S43→4
Wk 1 · Vol 0.93x
Moving averages & range
50 DMA
$148.12
200 DMA
$150.40
52W High
$163.64
52W Low
$118.20
5D Low
$150.20
Resistance levels (recent highs)
20d High
$156.27
60d High
$163.09
120d High
$163.09
250d High
$163.64
Next resistance
+4.4%
to 60d High
P/E (TTM)
23.6
Forward 15.9
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.0%
Revenue +0.8%
ROE
+30.3%
Profit margin +22.5%
Dividend Yield
3.08%
P/B 7.2

Novartis: quick answers

What stage is Novartis in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Novartis (NVS) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on Oct 7, 2026 and is in week 3. What the four stages mean

Is Novartis in an uptrend?

No. Novartis is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 3.9% above its 200-day average, which is rising.

How far is Novartis from its 52-week high?

Novartis closed at $156.27 on Oct 22, 2026, 4.5% below its 52-week high of $163.64. Its 52-week low is $118.20.

How has Novartis performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Novartis is up 22.6% over the past year and up 16.2% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is Novartis in?

Novartis is in the Drug Manufacturers - General industry, part of the Health Care sector.

About this companyHealth Care· Drug Manufacturers - General

Novartis AG researches, develops, manufactures, distributes, markets, and sells pharmaceutical medicines in Switzerland and internationally. The company offers Entresto, an angiotensin receptorneprilysin inhibitor to treat symptomatic chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF); Cosentyx to treat plaque psoriasis, pso riatic arthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, and nonradiographic axial spondy loarthritis; Kisqali, a selective oral cyclin dependent inhibitor of kinases 4 and 6 (CDK4/6); Promacta/Revolade to treat immune thrombocytopenia (ITP), thrombocytopenia, and patients with severe aplastic anemia (SAA); Tafinlar+Mekinist, an oral combination therapy to treat patients with certain types of cancers; and Jakavi for the treatment of myelofibrosis, polycythemia vera, and acute or chronic graftversushost disease (GvHD). It also provides Tasigna to treat philadelphia chromosomepositive chronic myeloid leukemia in the chronic and/or accelerated phase; Xolair for the treatment of allergic asthma and nasal polyps or severe chronic rhinosi nusitis with nasal polyps; Ilaris to treat fever syndromes, Still?s disease, and acute gouty arthritis; Pluvicto to treat prostatespecific membrane anti genpositive metastatic castrationresistant prostate cancer; Sandostatin SC and Sandostatin LAR to treat acromegaly carcinoid tumors and other types of functional gastro intestinal and pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors; Zolgensma for the treatment of genetic root cause of spinal muscular atrophy; Lucentis; Leqvio to reduce LDL cholesterol; Lutathera; Scemblix; and Fabhalta. The company focuses on therapeutic areas, such as cardiovascular, renal and metabolic, immunology, neuroscience, oncology, and hematology. It has a license and collaboration agreement with Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to develop, manufacture, and commercialize Leqvio (inclisiran), a therapy to reduce LDL cholesterol. Novartis AG has a strategic alliance with CAS for enhancing reaction data accessibility and supporting AI-enabled research. Novartis AG was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.