MCD· Consumer Discretionary› Restaurants

McDonald's Corporation

Stage 4 · Declining · week 23

As of Oct 22, 2026, McDonald's is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in week 23 (since May 12, 2026). It closed at $252.63, 24.5% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is falling.

McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. More about the company

$252.63

+2.52% today

$179B · Large cap

Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Steady

Edge

—

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22

S4 14w

S2 14w

S2 18w

S2 19w

S4 23w

2023-08-162026-10-22

S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)

S2 2w → S3 5w → S4 9w → S1 4w → S2 11w → S3 6w → S4 14w → S1 4w → S2 14w → S3 8w → S2 18w → S3 7w → S4 2w → S3 1w → S2 10w → S3 1w → S4 3w → S3 1w → S2 19w → S3 3w → S4 23w current

Total tracked: 164 weeks across 21 stage runs.

MCD among Restaurants27th of 54 by relative strength

All 54 →

Stocks in Restaurants ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#	Stock	Stage	RS	1M
1	CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory Incorporated	Stage 2 · wk 20	95	+7.7%
2	NDLSNoodles & Company Class A	Stage 3 · wk 2	95	−9.0%
3	CBRLCracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.	Stage 2 · wk 1	93	+42.2%
4	BJRIBJ's Restaurants, Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 4	93	−4.5%
5	LOCOEl Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 6	89	+5.3%
6	BDLFlanigan's Enterprises, Inc.	Stage 2 · wk 19	87	+11.1%
7	EATBrinker International, Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 1	83	−9.8%
8	RRGBRed Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.	Stage 2 · wk 17	79	+12.7%
…27	MCDMcDonald's Corporation	Stage 4 · wk 23	42	+6.0%

vs 52W High

-24.5%

$230.88 lo$334.50 hi

24.5% below 52W high, ongoing decline

In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.

Stage Maturity

Week 23

1w13w26w

Week 23, extended decline

How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.

vs 200 DMA

-10.3%

200 DMA: $281.79 · sloping down

In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.

Rel Volume

0.94x

vs 50-day avg

High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.

Trend Health

↓

Short-term trend rolling over

Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.

+6.0%

-3.9%

-15.3%

YTD

-15.1%

-15.7%

Scan Membership

Breakout Watch

Latest: 2025-02-21

12 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2018-10-16.

A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.

Recent Stage Timeline

2026-10-22S4

Wk 23 · Vol 0.94x

2026-10-21S4

Wk 23 · Vol 0.63x

2026-10-20S4

Wk 23 · Vol 1.03x

2026-10-19S4

Wk 23 · Vol 1.00x

2026-10-16S4

Wk 22 · Vol 1.37x

2026-10-15S4

Wk 22 · Vol 1.26x

2026-10-14S4

Wk 22 · Vol 0.98x

2026-10-13S4

Wk 22 · Vol 0.85x

2026-10-12S4

Wk 22 · Vol 0.81x

2026-10-09S4

Wk 21 · Vol 1.12x

2026-10-08S4

Wk 21 · Vol 2.19x

2026-10-07S4

Wk 21 · Vol 0.90x

Moving averages & range

50 DMA

$249.78

200 DMA

$281.79

52W High

$334.50

52W Low

$230.88

5D Low

$242.67

Resistance levels (recent highs)

20d High

$252.63

60d High

$274.31

120d High

$285.90

250d High

$334.50

Next resistance

+8.6%

to 60d High

P/E (TTM)

20.5

Forward 18.4

Earnings Growth (YoY)

+5.7%

Revenue +3.7%

Dividend Yield

3.14%

P/B -174.7

McDonald's: quick answers

What stage is McDonald's in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, McDonald's (MCD) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on May 12, 2026 and is in week 23. What the four stages mean

Is McDonald's in an uptrend?

No. McDonald's is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 10.3% below its 200-day average, which is falling.

How far is McDonald's from its 52-week high?

McDonald's closed at $252.63 on Oct 22, 2026, 24.5% below its 52-week high of $334.50. Its 52-week low is $230.88.

How has McDonald's performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, McDonald's is down 15.7% over the past year and down 15.1% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is McDonald's in?

McDonald's is in the Restaurants industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector.

About this companyConsumer Discretionary· Restaurants

McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. It offers food and beverages, including hamburgers and cheeseburgers, various chicken sandwiches, fries, shakes, frozen desserts, sundaes, soft serve cones, cookies, pies, soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages; and full or limited breakfast, as well as sells various other products during limited-time promotions. The company owns and operates franchised restaurants under various structures, including conventional franchise, developmental license, or affiliate. McDonald's Corporation was founded in 1940 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.