Dollar Tree, Inc.

Stage 3 · Topping · week 4

As of Oct 22, 2026, Dollar Tree is in Stage 3, the topping phase, now in week 4 (since Sep 28, 2026). It closed at $131.04, 7.2% below its 52-week high and above its 200-day average, which is falling.

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada. More about the company

$131.04

+4.75% today

$24.6B · Large cap

Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Topping: the uptrend is tiring

Setup score

—

Momentum

Accelerating ⇈

Edge

—

Is DLTR early, or has it already run? Pro answers that for every US stock we cover, after every close.

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22

S4 32w

S2 19w

S2 15w

2023-08-162026-10-22

S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)

S4 1w → S1 2w → S4 12w → S1 9w → S2 8w → S3 6w → S4 32w → S1 11w → S4 6w → S1 3w → S2 19w → S3 10w → S2 15w → S3 6w → S4 8w → S1 4w → S2 9w → S3 4w current

Total tracked: 165 weeks across 18 stage runs.

DLTR among Discount Stores5th of 9 by relative strength

All 9 →

Stocks in Discount Stores ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#	Stock	Stage	RS	1M
1	TBBBBBB Foods Inc. Class A	Stage 2 · wk 47	94	+11.3%
2	TGTTarget Corporation	Stage 2 · wk 39	92	+1.2%
3	PSMTPriceSmart, Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 7	83	−0.6%
4	DGDollar General Corporation	Stage 1 · wk 13	79	+15.9%
5	DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 4	78	+15.8%
6	WMTWalmart Inc.	Stage 4 · wk 13	66	+9.6%
7	BJBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.	Stage 2 · wk 5	65	+18.5%
8	COSTCostco Wholesale Corporation	Stage 4 · wk 12	62	+12.5%

vs 52W High

-7.2%

$86.80 lo$141.21 hi

7.2% below 52W high, weakening from peak

The stock is rolling over from its 52-week high. In Stage 3 distribution, new long positions carry high risk.

Stage Maturity

Week 4

1w13w26w

Week 4, early distribution

How long this stock has been in Stage 3 distribution. Longer tops often precede deeper Stage 4 declines.

vs 200 DMA

12.1%

200 DMA: $116.93 · sloping down

Stock is losing its 200 DMA. Once lost, it confirms Stage 4 risk. This is a major red flag for existing holders.

Rel Volume

0.75x

vs 50-day avg

Volume spikes on down days during Stage 3 signal distribution, with institutions exiting. Stage analysis reads that as a warning against new long positions.

Trend Health

↑ ⇈

Short-term trend rising strongly, and accelerating

Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.

+15.8%

+8.8%

+28.2%

YTD

+2.6%

+32.4%

Scan Membership

Breakout Watch

Latest: 2025-05-15

10 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2019-01-25.

A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.

Recent Stage Timeline

2026-10-22S3

Wk 4 · Vol 0.75x

2026-10-21S3

Wk 4 · Vol 0.68x

2026-10-20S3

Wk 4 · Vol 0.61x

2026-10-19S3

Wk 4 · Vol 0.57x

2026-10-16S3

Wk 3 · Vol 0.87x

2026-10-15S3

Wk 3 · Vol 0.75x

2026-10-14S3

Wk 3 · Vol 0.82x

2026-10-13S3

Wk 3 · Vol 0.77x

2026-10-12S3

Wk 3 · Vol 0.53x

2026-10-09S3

Wk 2 · Vol 0.57x

2026-10-08S3

Wk 2 · Vol 0.95x

2026-10-07S3

Wk 2 · Vol 0.67x

Moving averages & range

50 DMA

$122.03

200 DMA

$116.93

52W High

$141.21

52W Low

$86.80

5D Low

$123.15

Resistance levels (recent highs)

20d High

$131.04

60d High

$136.75

120d High

$136.75

250d High

$141.21

Next resistance

+4.4%

to 60d High

P/E (TTM)

16.0

Forward 16.6

Earnings Growth (YoY)

+197.2%

Revenue +7.0%

ROE

+46.0%

Profit margin +8.0%

Dividend Yield

0.00%

P/B 7.2

Dollar Tree: quick answers

What stage is Dollar Tree in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Dollar Tree (DLTR) is in Stage 3, the topping phase. It entered Stage 3 on Sep 28, 2026 and is in week 4. What the four stages mean

Is Dollar Tree in an uptrend?

Its uptrend has stalled. Dollar Tree is in Stage 3, the topping phase that follows an advance. It trades 12.1% above its 200-day average, which is falling.

How far is Dollar Tree from its 52-week high?

Dollar Tree closed at $131.04 on Oct 22, 2026, 7.2% below its 52-week high of $141.21. Its 52-week low is $86.80.

How has Dollar Tree performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Dollar Tree is up 32.4% over the past year and up 2.6% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is Dollar Tree in?

Dollar Tree is in the Discount Stores industry, part of the Consumer Staples sector.

About this companyConsumer Staples· Discount Stores

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada. The company offers consumable merchandise comprising everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health, personal care products, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise consisting of toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies, and other items; and seasonal goods, including Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.