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Costco Wholesale Corporation

Stage 4 · Declining · week 12

As of Oct 22, 2026, Costco Wholesale is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in week 12 (since Aug 4, 2026). It closed at $1,018.21, 6.8% below its 52-week high and above its 200-day average, which is rising.

Costco Wholesale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico, Japan, the United Kingdom, Korea, Aus… More about the company

$1,018.21
+1.93% today
$451B · Large cap
Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Accelerating ⇈

Edge

—

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22
S2 88w
S4 23w
S2 15w
2023-08-162026-10-22
S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)
S2 88w → S3 5w → S2 8w → S3 4w → S4 23w → S1 5w → S2 15w → S3 6w → S4 11w current
Total tracked: 166 weeks across 9 stage runs.

COST among Discount Stores8th of 9 by relative strength

All 9 →
Stocks in Discount Stores ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#StockStageRS1M
1TBBBStage 2 · wk 4794+11.3%
2TGTStage 2 · wk 3992+1.2%
3PSMTStage 3 · wk 783−0.6%
4DGStage 1 · wk 1379+15.9%
5DLTRStage 3 · wk 478+15.8%
6WMTStage 4 · wk 1366+9.6%
7BJStage 2 · wk 565+18.5%
8COSTStage 4 · wk 1262+12.5%
vs 52W High
-6.8%
$846.27 lo$1,092.58 hi
6.8% below 52W high, failed near resistance
In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.
Stage Maturity
Week 12
1w13w26w
Week 12, established downtrend
How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.
vs 200 DMA
5.3%
200 DMA: $967.02 · rising
In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.
Rel Volume
1.36x
vs 50-day avg
High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.
Trend Health
↑ ⇈
Short-term trend rising strongly, and accelerating
Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.
1M
+12.5%
3M
+8.9%
6M
+0.7%
YTD
+19.7%
1Y
+9.2%
Scan Membership
Breakout Watch
Latest: 2025-05-28
8 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2018-10-16.
A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.
Recent Stage Timeline
2026-10-22S4
Wk 12 · Vol 1.36x
2026-10-21S4
Wk 12 · Vol 0.52x
2026-10-20S4
Wk 11 · Vol 1.04x
2026-10-19S4
Wk 11 · Vol 0.84x
2026-10-16S4
Wk 11 · Vol 1.22x
2026-10-15S4
Wk 11 · Vol 1.47x
2026-10-14S4
Wk 11 · Vol 1.51x
2026-10-13S4
Wk 10 · Vol 0.70x
2026-10-12S4
Wk 10 · Vol 0.72x
2026-10-09S4
Wk 10 · Vol 0.73x
2026-10-08S4
Wk 10 · Vol 1.10x
2026-10-07S4
Wk 10 · Vol 0.85x
Moving averages & range
50 DMA
$938.05
200 DMA
$967.02
52W High
$1,092.58
52W Low
$846.27
5D Low
$989.11
Resistance levels (recent highs)
20d High
$1,018.21
60d High
$1,018.21
120d High
$1,092.58
250d High
$1,092.58
Next resistance
+7.3%
to 120d High
P/E (TTM)
49.0
Forward 40.7
Earnings Growth (YoY)
+15.0%
Revenue +11.1%
ROE
+28.4%
Profit margin +3.0%
Dividend Yield
0.59%
P/B 12.6

Costco Wholesale: quick answers

What stage is Costco Wholesale in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Costco Wholesale (COST) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on Aug 4, 2026 and is in week 12. What the four stages mean

Is Costco Wholesale in an uptrend?

No. Costco Wholesale is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 5.3% above its 200-day average, which is rising.

How far is Costco Wholesale from its 52-week high?

Costco Wholesale closed at $1,018.21 on Oct 22, 2026, 6.8% below its 52-week high of $1,092.58. Its 52-week low is $846.27.

How has Costco Wholesale performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Costco Wholesale is up 9.2% over the past year and up 19.7% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is Costco Wholesale in?

Costco Wholesale is in the Discount Stores industry, part of the Consumer Staples sector.

About this companyConsumer Staples· Discount Stores

Costco Wholesale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico, Japan, the United Kingdom, Korea, Australia, Taiwan, China, Spain, France, Sweden, Iceland, and New Zealand. It offers merchandise, including sundries, dry groceries, candies, coolers, freezers, liquor, and tobacco; non-food merchandise comprising consumer electronics, appliances, small electrics, health and beauty aids, hardware, lawn and garden, sporting goods, tires, toys and seasonal, automotive, stamps, tickets, apparel, furniture, domestics, housewares, special order kiosks, and jewelry; and fresh food, such as meat, produce, deli, and bakery products. The company is also involved in warehouse ancillary operations, which include gasoline, pharmacies, food courts, optical, hearing aids, and tire installation centers. In addition, it engages in e-commerce, business centers, travel, and other businesses. Further, the company operates e-commerce sites; and offers branded and private-label products in various categories. The company was formerly known as Costco Companies, Inc. and changed its name to Costco Wholesale Corporation in August 1999. Costco Wholesale Corporation was founded in 1976 and is based in Issaquah, Washington.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.