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USA Rare Earth, Inc.

Stage 4 · Declining · week 10

As of Oct 22, 2026, USA Rare Earth is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in week 10 (since Aug 13, 2026). It closed at $9.63, 68.6% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is falling.

USA Rare Earth, Inc. engages in mining, processing, and supplying rare earths and other critical minerals in the United States, Europe, and Asia. More about the company

$9.63
-5.87% today
$3.6B · Mid cap
Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Steady

Edge

—

Is USAR early, or has it already run? Pro answers that for every US stock we cover, after every close.

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22
S? 37w
S2 44w
S2 19w
2023-08-162026-10-22
S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)
S? 37w → S2 44w → S3 2w → S2 1w → S3 1w → S4 10w → S1 5w → S2 19w → S3 8w → S2 10w → S3 4w → S2 10w → S3 4w → S4 10w current
Total tracked: 166 weeks across 14 stage runs.

USAR among Other Industrial Metals & Mining33rd of 59 by relative strength

All 59 →
Stocks in Other Industrial Metals & Mining ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#StockStageRS1M
1NEXAStage 3 · wk 395−12.7%
2MTRNStage 2 · wk 391−14.0%
3SKEStage 2 · wk 991−8.8%
4BHPStage 2 · wk 6384−8.7%
5RIOStage 2 · wk 776−11.7%
6SCZMStage 2 · wk 273−19.7%
7SGMLStage 4 · wk 1269−26.2%
8VALEStage 4 · wk 368−11.7%
…33USARStage 4 · wk 1017−39.2%
vs 52W High
-68.6%
$9.63 lo$30.70 hi
68.6% below 52W high, deep Stage 4 damage
In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.
Stage Maturity
Week 10
1w13w26w
Week 10, established downtrend
How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.
vs 200 DMA
-49.6%
200 DMA: $19.12 · sloping down
In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.
Rel Volume
0.96x
vs 50-day avg
High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.
Trend Health
↓
Short-term trend rolling over
Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.
1M
-39.2%
3M
-31.9%
6M
-58.3%
YTD
-31.9%
1Y
-64.0%
Scan Membership
Breakout Watch
Latest: 2025-03-18
2 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2024-04-30.
A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.
Recent Stage Timeline
2026-10-22S4
Wk 10 · Vol 0.96x
2026-10-21S4
Wk 10 · Vol 0.60x
2026-10-20S4
Wk 10 · Vol 0.72x
2026-10-19S4
Wk 10 · Vol 0.77x
2026-10-16S4
Wk 10 · Vol 0.81x
2026-10-15S4
Wk 9 · Vol 1.78x
2026-10-14S4
Wk 9 · Vol 1.60x
2026-10-13S4
Wk 9 · Vol 1.05x
2026-10-12S4
Wk 9 · Vol 0.99x
2026-10-09S4
Wk 9 · Vol 0.84x
2026-10-08S4
Wk 8 · Vol 1.54x
2026-10-07S4
Wk 8 · Vol 1.08x
Moving averages & range
50 DMA
$15.35
200 DMA
$19.12
52W High
$30.70
52W Low
$9.63
5D Low
$9.63
Resistance levels (recent highs)
20d High
$15.18
60d High
$20.00
120d High
$30.70
250d High
$30.70
Next resistance
+57.6%
to 20d High
ROE
-23.6%
Profit margin 0.0%
Dividend Yield
0.00%
P/B 0.9

USA Rare Earth: quick answers

What stage is USA Rare Earth in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, USA Rare Earth (USAR) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on Aug 13, 2026 and is in week 10. What the four stages mean

Is USA Rare Earth in an uptrend?

No. USA Rare Earth is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 49.6% below its 200-day average, which is falling.

How far is USA Rare Earth from its 52-week high?

USA Rare Earth closed at $9.63 on Oct 22, 2026, 68.6% below its 52-week high of $30.70. Its 52-week low is $9.63.

How has USA Rare Earth performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, USA Rare Earth is down 64.0% over the past year and down 31.9% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is USA Rare Earth in?

USA Rare Earth is in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry, part of the Materials sector.

About this companyMaterials· Other Industrial Metals & Mining

USA Rare Earth, Inc. engages in mining, processing, and supplying rare earths and other critical minerals in the United States, Europe, and Asia. It primarily explores neodymium, dysprosium, terbium, yttrium, gallium, hafnium, praseodymium, samarium, oxides, and other critical minerals. The company holds interests in the Round Top Mountain located near Sierra Blanca, Texas. It products are used in aerospace, defense, semiconductors, data centers, physical AI, energy, mobility, healthcare, and numerous industrial sectors. It has a hydrometallurgical demonstration facility in Wheat Ridge, Colorado. USA Rare Earth, Inc. has a strategic partnership with Pasqal and Riven Systems to develop next-generation separation technology for the rare earth value chain. USA Rare Earth, Inc. was founded in 2019 and is based in Stillwater, Oklahoma.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.