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Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc.

Stage 4 · Declining · week 6

As of Oct 22, 2026, Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in week 6 (since Sep 16, 2026). It closed at $15.95, 56.3% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is falling.

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the identification, acquisition, development, and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of rare and ultra-rare g… More about the company

$15.95
-0.68% today
$1.6B · Small cap
Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Accelerating ⇈

Edge

—

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22
S4 15w
S2 16w
S4 25w
S4 16w
2023-08-162026-10-22
S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)
S3 1w → S4 15w → S1 5w → S2 16w → S3 7w → S4 6w → S1 3w → S2 12w → S3 7w → S4 25w → S1 3w → S4 13w → S1 9w → S2 2w → S1 1w → S4 16w → S1 11w → S2 7w → S3 1w → S4 5w current
Total tracked: 165 weeks across 20 stage runs.

RARE among Biotechnology361st of 591 by relative strength

All 591 →
Stocks in Biotechnology ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#StockStageRS1M
1GTBPStage 2 · wk 799−22.3%
2IOVAStage 2 · wk 1899+38.8%
3SLSStage 3 · wk 499−1.5%
4MRNAStage 2 · wk 1799+11.3%
5TWSTStage 2 · wk 3999−14.5%
6KODStage 2 · wk 499+172.1%
7ERASStage 3 · wk 599+0.7%
8CLYMStage 3 · wk 399−15.8%
…361RAREStage 4 · wk 622+7.2%
vs 52W High
-56.3%
$12.88 lo$36.54 hi
56.3% below 52W high, deep Stage 4 damage
In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.
Stage Maturity
Week 6
1w13w26w
Week 6, early Stage 4 decline
How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.
vs 200 DMA
-31.0%
200 DMA: $23.12 · sloping down
In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.
Rel Volume
0.51x
vs 50-day avg
High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.
Trend Health
↑ ⇈
Short-term trend rising strongly, and accelerating
Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.
1M
+7.2%
3M
-40.7%
6M
-34.3%
YTD
-32.4%
1Y
-53.3%
Scan Membership
Breakout Watch
Latest: 2024-08-19
8 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2019-04-17.
A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.
Recent Stage Timeline
2026-10-22S4
Wk 6 · Vol 0.51x
2026-10-21S4
Wk 6 · Vol 0.57x
2026-10-20S4
Wk 5 · Vol 0.77x
2026-10-19S4
Wk 5 · Vol 0.64x
2026-10-16S4
Wk 5 · Vol 0.63x
2026-10-15S4
Wk 5 · Vol 0.72x
2026-10-14S4
Wk 5 · Vol 0.64x
2026-10-13S4
Wk 4 · Vol 1.17x
2026-10-12S4
Wk 4 · Vol 0.64x
2026-10-09S4
Wk 4 · Vol 0.65x
2026-10-08S4
Wk 4 · Vol 1.22x
2026-10-07S4
Wk 4 · Vol 0.95x
Moving averages & range
50 DMA
$18.16
200 DMA
$23.12
52W High
$36.54
52W Low
$12.88
5D Low
$14.54
Resistance levels (recent highs)
20d High
$16.06
60d High
$26.96
120d High
$35.87
250d High
$36.54
Next resistance
+0.7%
to 20d High
Dividend Yield
0.00%
P/B -5.4

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical: quick answers

What stage is Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical (RARE) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on Sep 16, 2026 and is in week 6. What the four stages mean

Is Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical in an uptrend?

No. Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 31.0% below its 200-day average, which is falling.

How far is Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical from its 52-week high?

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical closed at $15.95 on Oct 22, 2026, 56.3% below its 52-week high of $36.54. Its 52-week low is $12.88.

How has Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical is down 53.3% over the past year and down 32.4% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical in?

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical is in the Biotechnology industry, part of the Health Care sector.

About this companyHealth Care· Biotechnology

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the identification, acquisition, development, and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases in North America, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. Its biologic products include Crysvita (burosumab), an antibody targeting fibroblast growth factor 23 for the treatment of X-linked hypophosphatemia, as well as tumor-induced osteomalacia; Mepsevii, an enzyme replacement therapy for the treatment of children and adults with Mucopolysaccharidosis VII; Dojolvi for the treatment of long-chain fatty acid oxidation disorders; and Evkeeza (evinacumab) for the treatment of homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia. The company's products candidates that are in Phase 3 clinical trials include UX143, a human monoclonal antibody for the treatment of osteogenesis imperfecta; UX111, an AAV9 gene therapy product candidate for the treatment of patients with Sanfilippo syndrome type A, or MPS IIIA, a rare lysosomal storage disease; DTX401, an adeno-associated virus 8 (AAV8) gene therapy clinical candidate for the treatment of patients with glycogen storage disease type Ia; DTX301, an AAV8 gene therapy for the treatment of patients with ornithine transcarbamylase; and GTX-102, an antisense oligonucleotide for the treatment of Angelman syndrome. It also develops UX701, an adeno-associated AAV9 gene therapy which is in Phase 2 clinical trial for the treatment of Wilson liver disease. The company has collaboration and license agreement with Kyowa Kirin Co., Ltd.; Saint Louis University; Baylor Research Institute; REGENXBIO Inc.; GeneTx; Mereo; University of Pennsylvania; Regeneron; and Abeona. Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, California.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.