AMERISAFE, Inc.

Stage 4 · Declining · week 10

As of Oct 22, 2026, AMERISAFE is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in week 10 (since Aug 14, 2026). It closed at $26.58, 31.8% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is falling.

AMERISAFE, Inc., an insurance holding company, underwrites workers' compensation insurance in the United States. More about the company

$26.58

+4.15% today

$493M · Small cap

Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Accelerating ⇈

Edge

—

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22

S4 17w

S2 21w

S4 15w

S4 39w

2023-08-162026-10-22

S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)

S3 6w → S4 17w → S1 4w → S2 9w → S3 4w → S4 9w → S1 5w → S2 21w → S3 9w → S2 4w → S3 3w → S4 15w → S1 5w → S4 39w → S1 5w → S4 10w current

Total tracked: 166 weeks across 16 stage runs.

AMSF among Insurance - Specialty13th of 15 by relative strength

All 15 →

Stocks in Insurance - Specialty ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#	Stock	Stage	RS	1M
1	ACTEnact Holdings, Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 1	78	−1.7%
2	EIGEmployers Holdings Inc	Stage 3 · wk 4	76	+10.3%
3	AXSAxis Capital Holdings Limited	Stage 4 · wk 4	66	+9.9%
4	NMIHNMI Holdings Inc	Stage 3 · wk 3	65	−1.7%
5	ITICInvestors Title Company	Stage 2 · wk 16	64	−1.0%
6	ESNTEssent Group Ltd.	Stage 3 · wk 2	63	+0.4%
7	FAFFirst American Corporation (New)	Stage 3 · wk 3	62	−3.5%
8	RDNRadian Group Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 5	59	+0.5%
…13	AMSFAMERISAFE, Inc.	Stage 4 · wk 10	32	+9.1%

vs 52W High

-31.8%

$23.28 lo$38.96 hi

31.8% below 52W high, ongoing decline

In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.

Stage Maturity

Week 10

1w13w26w

Week 10, established downtrend

How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.

vs 200 DMA

-12.9%

200 DMA: $30.51 · sloping down

In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.

Rel Volume

0.60x

vs 50-day avg

High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.

Trend Health

↗ ⇈

Short-term trend rising gently, and accelerating

Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.

+9.1%

-11.1%

-11.9%

YTD

-26.2%

-31.2%

Scan Membership

Breakout Watch

Latest: 2025-04-01

11 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2018-10-16.

A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.

Recent Stage Timeline

2026-10-22S4

Wk 10 · Vol 0.60x

2026-10-21S4

Wk 10 · Vol 0.57x

2026-10-20S4

Wk 10 · Vol 0.83x

2026-10-19S4

Wk 10 · Vol 0.70x

2026-10-16S4

Wk 9 · Vol 0.50x

2026-10-15S4

Wk 9 · Vol 0.60x

2026-10-14S4

Wk 9 · Vol 0.63x

2026-10-13S4

Wk 9 · Vol 0.85x

2026-10-12S4

Wk 9 · Vol 0.93x

2026-10-09S4

Wk 8 · Vol 0.66x

2026-10-08S4

Wk 8 · Vol 1.08x

2026-10-07S4

Wk 8 · Vol 0.95x

Moving averages & range

50 DMA

$24.97

200 DMA

$30.51

52W High

$38.96

52W Low

$23.28

5D Low

$25.25

Resistance levels (recent highs)

20d High

$26.58

60d High

$29.68

120d High

$34.86

250d High

$38.43

Next resistance

+11.7%

to 60d High

P/E (TTM)

10.7

Forward 13.2

Earnings Growth (YoY)

+6.8%

Revenue +13.4%

ROE

+18.2%

Profit margin +14.0%

Dividend Yield

6.43%

P/B 2.0

AMERISAFE: quick answers

What stage is AMERISAFE in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, AMERISAFE (AMSF) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on Aug 14, 2026 and is in week 10. What the four stages mean

Is AMERISAFE in an uptrend?

No. AMERISAFE is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 12.9% below its 200-day average, which is falling.

How far is AMERISAFE from its 52-week high?

AMERISAFE closed at $26.58 on Oct 22, 2026, 31.8% below its 52-week high of $38.96. Its 52-week low is $23.28.

How has AMERISAFE performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, AMERISAFE is down 31.2% over the past year and down 26.2% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is AMERISAFE in?

AMERISAFE is in the Insurance - Specialty industry, part of the Financials sector.

About this companyFinancials· Insurance - Specialty

AMERISAFE, Inc., an insurance holding company, underwrites workers' compensation insurance in the United States. The company provides benefits to injured employees for temporary or permanent disability, death, and medical and hospital expenses. It sells its products through retail and wholesale brokers and agents; and small and mid-sized employers engaged in hazardous industries, including construction, trucking, logging and lumber, agriculture, manufacturing, telecommunications, and maritime. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Deridder, Louisiana.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.