Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Stage 4 · Declining · week 7

As of Oct 22, 2026, Assured Guaranty is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in week 7 (since Sep 10, 2026). It closed at $70.31, 22.6% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is falling.

$70.31

+1.50% today

$3.1B · Mid cap

Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Steady

Edge

—

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22

S2 36w

S2 20w

S4 16w

2023-08-162026-10-22

S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)

S2 36w → S3 13w → S2 5w → S1 8w → S2 20w → S3 11w → S4 4w → S1 4w → S4 16w → S1 3w → S2 10w → S3 6w → S4 16w → S1 7w → S4 6w current

Total tracked: 166 weeks across 15 stage runs.

AGO among Insurance - Specialty10th of 15 by relative strength

All 15 →

Stocks in Insurance - Specialty ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#	Stock	Stage	RS	1M
1	ACTEnact Holdings, Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 1	78	−1.7%
2	EIGEmployers Holdings Inc	Stage 3 · wk 4	76	+10.3%
3	AXSAxis Capital Holdings Limited	Stage 4 · wk 4	66	+9.9%
4	NMIHNMI Holdings Inc	Stage 3 · wk 3	65	−1.7%
5	ITICInvestors Title Company	Stage 2 · wk 16	64	−1.0%
6	ESNTEssent Group Ltd.	Stage 3 · wk 2	63	+0.4%
7	FAFFirst American Corporation (New)	Stage 3 · wk 3	62	−3.5%
8	RDNRadian Group Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 5	59	+0.5%
…10	AGOAssured Guaranty Ltd.	Stage 4 · wk 7	44	+1.9%

vs 52W High

-22.6%

$67.72 lo$90.86 hi

22.6% below 52W high, ongoing decline

In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.

Stage Maturity

Week 7

1w13w26w

Week 7, early Stage 4 decline

How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.

vs 200 DMA

-11.0%

200 DMA: $78.96 · sloping down

In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.

Rel Volume

1.30x

vs 50-day avg

High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.

Trend Health

↓

Short-term trend rolling over

Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.

+1.9%

-17.2%

-14.8%

YTD

-19.6%

-13.5%

Scan Membership

Breakout Watch

Latest: 2024-10-24

10 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2018-10-16.

A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.

Recent Stage Timeline

2026-10-22S4

Wk 7 · Vol 1.30x

2026-10-21S4

Wk 6 · Vol 0.69x

2026-10-20S4

Wk 6 · Vol 0.62x

2026-10-19S4

Wk 6 · Vol 0.65x

2026-10-16S4

Wk 6 · Vol 0.90x

2026-10-15S4

Wk 6 · Vol 0.76x

2026-10-14S4

Wk 5 · Vol 0.83x

2026-10-13S4

Wk 5 · Vol 0.64x

2026-10-12S4

Wk 5 · Vol 0.69x

2026-10-09S4

Wk 5 · Vol 0.76x

2026-10-08S4

Wk 5 · Vol 0.74x

2026-10-07S4

Wk 4 · Vol 0.75x

Moving averages & range

50 DMA

$71.91

200 DMA

$78.96

52W High

$90.86

52W Low

$67.72

5D Low

$69.27

Resistance levels (recent highs)

20d High

$70.85

60d High

$83.72

120d High

$85.05

250d High

$90.86

Next resistance

+0.8%

to 20d High

P/E (TTM)

9.4

Forward 10.0

Earnings Growth (YoY)

-57.7%

Revenue -0.5%

ROE

+6.7%

Profit margin +43.2%

Dividend Yield

2.19%

P/B 0.6

Assured Guaranty: quick answers

What stage is Assured Guaranty in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Assured Guaranty (AGO) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on Sep 10, 2026 and is in week 7. What the four stages mean

Is Assured Guaranty in an uptrend?

No. Assured Guaranty is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 11.0% below its 200-day average, which is falling.

How far is Assured Guaranty from its 52-week high?

Assured Guaranty closed at $70.31 on Oct 22, 2026, 22.6% below its 52-week high of $90.86. Its 52-week low is $67.72.

How has Assured Guaranty performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Assured Guaranty is down 13.5% over the past year and down 19.6% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is Assured Guaranty in?

Assured Guaranty is in the Insurance - Specialty industry, part of the Financials sector.

About this companyFinancials· Insurance - Specialty

Assured Guaranty Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through Insurance and Asset Management segments. The company offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. It also provides specialty insurance and reinsurance on transactions with risk profiles similar to those of its structured finance exposures written in financial guaranty form, as well as offers credit protection through reinsurance. In addition, the company insures and reinsures various the U.S. public finance obligations, such as general obligation, tax-backed bonds, municipal utility, transportation, healthcare, higher education, infrastructure, housing revenue, investor-owned utility, renewable energy, and other public finance bonds. Further, it involved in insuring and reinsuring of non-U.S. public finance obligations comprising regulated utilities, infrastructure finance, sovereign and sub-sovereign, renewable energy bonds, and pooled infrastructure obligations; and the U.S. and non-U.S. structured finance obligations, including residential mortgage-backed securities, life insurance transactions, pooled corporate obligations, and financial products. Additionally, the company offers specialty business, such as diversified real estate, insurance reserve financing and securitizations, pooled corporate obligations, and aircraft residual value insurance (RVI) transactions; and asset management services comprising investment advisory services. It markets its financial guaranty insurance directly to issuers and underwriters of public finance and structured finance securities, as well as to investors. Assured Guaranty Ltd. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.