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Arch Capital Group Ltd.

Stage 3 · Topping · week 4

As of Oct 22, 2026, Arch Capital Group is in Stage 3, the topping phase, now in week 4 (since Sep 25, 2026). It closed at $102.69, 3.6% below its 52-week high and above its 200-day average, which is rising.

Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products in the United States, Canada, Bermuda, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Australia. More about the company

$102.69
+2.40% today
$35.0B · Large cap
Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Topping: the uptrend is tiring

Setup score

—

Momentum

Accelerating ⇈

Edge

—

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22
S2 18w
S2 23w
S4 14w
S2 18w
2023-08-162026-10-22
S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)
S2 18w → S3 9w → S2 23w → S3 3w → S2 11w → S3 7w → S4 12w → S1 4w → S4 2w → S1 8w → S4 14w → S1 4w → S4 4w → S1 3w → S2 18w → S3 10w → S2 10w → S3 4w current
Total tracked: 166 weeks across 18 stage runs.

ACGL among Insurance - Diversified5th of 11 by relative strength

All 11 →
Stocks in Insurance - Diversified ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#StockStageRS1M
1PLGOStage 3 · wk 485+9.6%
2SLFStage 3 · wk 280+1.1%
3AEGStage 3 · wk 269−6.2%
4IGICStage 3 · wk 569+2.4%
5ACGLStage 3 · wk 468+7.9%
6HIGStage 4 · wk 265+10.2%
7BRK-AStage 2 · wk 1263+7.3%
8BRK-BStage 2 · wk 1363+7.8%
vs 52W High
-3.6%
$84.72 lo$106.48 hi
Near 52W high, distribution zone
The stock is rolling over from its 52-week high. In Stage 3 distribution, new long positions carry high risk.
Stage Maturity
Week 4
1w13w26w
Week 4, early distribution
How long this stock has been in Stage 3 distribution. Longer tops often precede deeper Stage 4 declines.
vs 200 DMA
6.4%
200 DMA: $96.52 · rising
Stock is losing its 200 DMA. Once lost, it confirms Stage 4 risk. This is a major red flag for existing holders.
Rel Volume
0.73x
vs 50-day avg
Volume spikes on down days during Stage 3 signal distribution, with institutions exiting. Stage analysis reads that as a warning against new long positions.
Trend Health
↗ ⇈
Short-term trend rising gently, and accelerating
Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.
1M
+7.9%
3M
-0.6%
6M
+4.7%
YTD
+9.4%
1Y
+17.1%
Scan Membership
Breakout Watch
Latest: 2024-08-28
6 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2019-02-25.
A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.
Recent Stage Timeline
2026-10-22S3
Wk 4 · Vol 0.73x
2026-10-21S3
Wk 4 · Vol 0.77x
2026-10-20S3
Wk 4 · Vol 0.62x
2026-10-19S3
Wk 4 · Vol 0.58x
2026-10-16S3
Wk 4 · Vol 1.44x
2026-10-15S3
Wk 3 · Vol 0.81x
2026-10-14S3
Wk 3 · Vol 0.79x
2026-10-13S3
Wk 3 · Vol 0.77x
2026-10-12S3
Wk 3 · Vol 0.68x
2026-10-09S3
Wk 3 · Vol 0.58x
2026-10-08S3
Wk 2 · Vol 0.76x
2026-10-07S3
Wk 2 · Vol 0.53x
Moving averages & range
50 DMA
$97.42
200 DMA
$96.52
52W High
$106.48
52W Low
$84.72
5D Low
$100.28
Resistance levels (recent highs)
20d High
$102.69
60d High
$102.69
120d High
$106.48
250d High
$106.48
Next resistance
+3.7%
to 120d High
P/E (TTM)
8.0
Forward 10.5
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.1%
Revenue -10.5%
ROE
+19.9%
Profit margin +24.4%
Dividend Yield
0.00%
P/B 1.5

Arch Capital Group: quick answers

What stage is Arch Capital Group in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Arch Capital Group (ACGL) is in Stage 3, the topping phase. It entered Stage 3 on Sep 25, 2026 and is in week 4. What the four stages mean

Is Arch Capital Group in an uptrend?

Its uptrend has stalled. Arch Capital Group is in Stage 3, the topping phase that follows an advance. It trades 6.4% above its 200-day average, which is rising.

How far is Arch Capital Group from its 52-week high?

Arch Capital Group closed at $102.69 on Oct 22, 2026, 3.6% below its 52-week high of $106.48. Its 52-week low is $84.72.

How has Arch Capital Group performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Arch Capital Group is up 17.1% over the past year and up 9.4% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is Arch Capital Group in?

Arch Capital Group is in the Insurance - Diversified industry, part of the Financials sector.

About this companyFinancials· Insurance - Diversified

Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products in the United States, Canada, Bermuda, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Australia. The company operates through three segments: Insurance, Reinsurance, and Mortgage. The Insurance segment offers commercial automobile; commercial multiperil; financial and professional line liability; admitted, excess, and surplus casualty lines; property and short-tail specialty; workers compensation; and casualty insurance. Its Reinsurance segment provides reinsurance products for casualty; marine and aviation; property catastrophe; property excluding property catastrophe; and other specialty products. The Mortgage segment offers U.S. primary mortgage insurance business written predominantly on loans sold to the Federal National Mortgage Association and Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation; reinsurance and underwriting services related to the U.S. credit-risk transfer business and other U.S. mortgage reinsurance transactions; and international mortgage insurance and reinsurance business covering loans. It markets its products through a group of licensed independent retail and wholesale brokers. The company was formerly known as Risk Capital Holdings, Inc. Arch Capital Group Ltd. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.