Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

Stage 4 · Declining · week 5

As of Oct 22, 2026, Orchid Island Capital is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in week 5 (since Sep 21, 2026). It closed at $4.90, 32.6% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is falling.

Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a specialty finance company, invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the United States. More about the company

$4.90

+0.99% today

$967M · Small cap

Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Steady

Edge

—

Is ORC early, or has it already run? Pro answers that for every US stock we cover, after every close.

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22

S4 15w

S2 26w

S2 17w

S2 32w

S3 14w

2023-08-162026-10-22

S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)

S2 3w → S3 1w → S4 15w → S1 7w → S2 26w → S3 5w → S2 8w → S3 2w → S4 1w → S3 1w → S4 1w → S2 17w → S3 4w → S4 7w → S1 7w → S2 32w → S3 14w → S4 7w → S1 4w → S4 5w current

Total tracked: 165 weeks across 20 stage runs.

ORC among REIT - Mortgage20th of 38 by relative strength

All 38 →

Stocks in REIT - Mortgage ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#	Stock	Stage	RS	1M
1	NREFNexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 2	79	0.0%
2	ADAMAdamas Trust, Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 4	75	−8.3%
3	CHMICherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation	Stage 2 · wk 10	73	−4.4%
4	ARIApollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc	Stage 4 · wk 4	55	+0.6%
5	AGNCAGNC Investment Corp.	Stage 4 · wk 3	55	−9.1%
6	NLYAnnaly Capital Management Inc.	Stage 4 · wk 2	54	−9.5%
7	DXDynex Capital, Inc.	Stage 4 · wk 4	53	−4.3%
8	EFCEllington Financial Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 5	51	−5.3%
…20	ORCOrchid Island Capital, Inc.	Stage 4 · wk 5	39	−16.1%

vs 52W High

-32.6%

$4.77 lo$7.27 hi

32.6% below 52W high, ongoing decline

In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.

Stage Maturity

Week 5

1w13w26w

Week 5, early Stage 4 decline

How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.

vs 200 DMA

-22.6%

200 DMA: $6.33 · sloping down

In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.

Rel Volume

0.92x

vs 50-day avg

High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.

Trend Health

↓

Short-term trend rolling over

Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.

-16.1%

-21.4%

-21.5%

YTD

-23.6%

-20.9%

Scan Membership

Breakout Watch

Latest: 2024-12-13

9 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2019-03-19.

A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.

Recent Stage Timeline

2026-10-22S4

Wk 5 · Vol 0.92x

2026-10-21S4

Wk 5 · Vol 0.74x

2026-10-20S4

Wk 5 · Vol 1.27x

2026-10-19S4

Wk 5 · Vol 1.21x

2026-10-16S4

Wk 4 · Vol 1.29x

2026-10-15S4

Wk 4 · Vol 1.31x

2026-10-14S4

Wk 4 · Vol 1.22x

2026-10-13S4

Wk 4 · Vol 1.25x

2026-10-12S4

Wk 4 · Vol 0.80x

2026-10-09S4

Wk 3 · Vol 0.97x

2026-10-08S4

Wk 3 · Vol 2.16x

2026-10-07S4

Wk 3 · Vol 1.77x

Moving averages & range

50 DMA

$5.83

200 DMA

$6.33

52W High

$7.27

52W Low

$4.77

5D Low

$4.77

Resistance levels (recent highs)

20d High

$5.67

60d High

$6.56

120d High

$6.66

250d High

$7.27

Next resistance

+15.7%

to 20d High

P/E (TTM)

3.0

Forward 4.7

ROE

+20.8%

Profit margin +90.6%

Dividend Yield

24.64%

P/B 0.7

Orchid Island Capital: quick answers

What stage is Orchid Island Capital in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Orchid Island Capital (ORC) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on Sep 21, 2026 and is in week 5. What the four stages mean

Is Orchid Island Capital in an uptrend?

No. Orchid Island Capital is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 22.6% below its 200-day average, which is falling.

How far is Orchid Island Capital from its 52-week high?

Orchid Island Capital closed at $4.90 on Oct 22, 2026, 32.6% below its 52-week high of $7.27. Its 52-week low is $4.77.

How has Orchid Island Capital performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Orchid Island Capital is down 20.9% over the past year and down 23.6% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is Orchid Island Capital in?

Orchid Island Capital is in the REIT - Mortgage industry, part of the Real Estate sector.

About this companyReal Estate· REIT - Mortgage

Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a specialty finance company, invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the United States. The company's RMBS is backed by single-family residential mortgage loans, referred to as Agency RMBS. Its portfolio comprises traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations; and structured Agency RMBS, including interest only securities, inverse interest only securities, and principal only securities. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) for the United States federal income tax purposes. As a result, it would not be subject to corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to stockholders, if it annually distributes dividends equal to at least 90% of its REIT taxable income to its shareholders. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Vero Beach, Florida.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.