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Commerce Bancshares, Inc.

Stage 3 · Topping · week 4

As of Oct 22, 2026, Commerce Bancshares is in Stage 3, the topping phase, now in week 4 (since Sep 30, 2026). It closed at $56.51, 5.9% below its 52-week high and above its 200-day average, which is rising.

Commerce Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Commerce Bank that provides retail, mortgage banking, corporate, investment, trust, and asset management products and services to ind… More about the company

$56.51
+2.48% today
$8.1B · Mid cap
Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Topping: the uptrend is tiring

Setup score

—

Momentum

Steady

Edge

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22
S2 24w
S2 14w
S4 23w
S2 14w
2023-08-162026-10-22
S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)
S1 6w → S4 9w → S1 4w → S2 10w → S3 6w → S2 24w → S3 4w → S2 14w → S3 10w → S4 5w → S1 4w → S2 5w → S1 1w → S4 23w → S1 8w → S4 11w → S1 4w → S2 14w → S3 3w current
Total tracked: 166 weeks across 19 stage runs.

CBSH among Banks - Regional271st of 319 by relative strength

All 319 →
Stocks in Banks - Regional ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#StockStageRS1M
1OPHCStage 2 · wk 3896−1.0%
2MSBIStage 2 · wk 4395+1.8%
3CMTVStage 2 · wk 7294+11.5%
4VBNKStage 2 · wk 2594−0.9%
5AMALStage 3 · wk 294+8.1%
6BOTJStage 2 · wk 5893+9.0%
7ATLOStage 2 · wk 6892+9.5%
8RBKBStage 2 · wk 3892+0.9%
…271CBSHStage 3 · wk 464+1.7%
vs 52W High
-5.9%
$47.02 lo$60.05 hi
5.9% below 52W high, weakening from peak
The stock is rolling over from its 52-week high. In Stage 3 distribution, new long positions carry high risk.
Stage Maturity
Week 4
1w13w26w
Week 4, early distribution
How long this stock has been in Stage 3 distribution. Longer tops often precede deeper Stage 4 declines.
vs 200 DMA
4.7%
200 DMA: $53.96 · rising
Stock is losing its 200 DMA. Once lost, it confirms Stage 4 risk. This is a major red flag for existing holders.
Rel Volume
1.12x
vs 50-day avg
Volume spikes on down days during Stage 3 signal distribution, with institutions exiting. Stage analysis reads that as a warning against new long positions.
Trend Health
↓
Short-term trend rolling over
Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.
1M
+1.7%
3M
-3.9%
6M
+10.7%
YTD
+9.8%
1Y
+12.5%
Scan Membership
Breakout Watch
Latest: 2025-06-26
9 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2019-10-24.
A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.
Recent Stage Timeline
2026-10-22S3
Wk 4 · Vol 1.12x
2026-10-21S3
Wk 4 · Vol 0.72x
2026-10-20S3
Wk 3 · Vol 1.19x
2026-10-19S3
Wk 3 · Vol 0.86x
2026-10-16S3
Wk 3 · Vol 1.04x
2026-10-15S3
Wk 3 · Vol 0.88x
2026-10-14S3
Wk 3 · Vol 1.03x
2026-10-13S3
Wk 2 · Vol 1.22x
2026-10-12S3
Wk 2 · Vol 0.87x
2026-10-09S3
Wk 2 · Vol 0.81x
2026-10-08S3
Wk 2 · Vol 0.69x
2026-10-07S3
Wk 2 · Vol 0.80x
Moving averages & range
50 DMA
$56.80
200 DMA
$53.96
52W High
$60.05
52W Low
$47.02
5D Low
$55.11
Resistance levels (recent highs)
20d High
$56.51
60d High
$59.99
120d High
$60.05
250d High
$60.05
Next resistance
+6.2%
to 60d High
P/E (TTM)
13.6
Forward 12.3
Earnings Growth (YoY)
+1.2%
Revenue +14.2%
ROE
+14.7%
Profit margin +31.6%
Dividend Yield
1.99%
P/B 1.9

Commerce Bancshares: quick answers

What stage is Commerce Bancshares in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) is in Stage 3, the topping phase. It entered Stage 3 on Sep 30, 2026 and is in week 4. What the four stages mean

Is Commerce Bancshares in an uptrend?

Its uptrend has stalled. Commerce Bancshares is in Stage 3, the topping phase that follows an advance. It trades 4.7% above its 200-day average, which is rising.

How far is Commerce Bancshares from its 52-week high?

Commerce Bancshares closed at $56.51 on Oct 22, 2026, 5.9% below its 52-week high of $60.05. Its 52-week low is $47.02.

How has Commerce Bancshares performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Commerce Bancshares is up 12.5% over the past year and up 9.8% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is Commerce Bancshares in?

Commerce Bancshares is in the Banks - Regional industry, part of the Financials sector.

About this companyFinancials· Banks - Regional

Commerce Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Commerce Bank that provides retail, mortgage banking, corporate, investment, trust, and asset management products and services to individuals and businesses in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail Banking, Commercial, and Wealth. The Retail Banking segment offers various banking products and services, including consumer deposits; consumer loans, such as automobile, motorcycle, marine, tractor/trailer, recreational vehicle, fixed rate and revolving home equity, and other consumer loans; patient health care financing; real estate loans; indirect and other consumer financing; retail branch network; personal mortgage banking; consumer installment lending; and consumer debit and credit bank cards. The Commercial segment provides corporate lending, leasing, international, merchant and commercial bank card, and securities safekeeping and bond accounting services; and business products, government deposits, and related commercial cash management services, as well as sells fixed income securities to correspondent banks, corporations, public institutions, municipalities, and individuals. The Wealth segment provides traditional trust and estate planning, advisory and discretionary investment portfolio management, and brokerage services, as well as private banking accounts. The company offers private equity investment, securities brokerage, insurance agency, specialty lending, and leasing services, as well as online and mobile banking services. Commerce Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.