Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation

Stage 4 · Declining · week 14

As of Oct 22, 2026, Ares Commercial Real Estate is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in week 14 (since Jul 17, 2026). It closed at $3.26, 36.8% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is falling.

$3.26

+3.16% today

$181M · Micro cap

Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Steady

Edge

—

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22

S4 18w

S1 13w

S4 19w

S2 37w

S4 14w

2023-08-162026-10-22

S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)

S2 6w → S3 10w → S2 9w → S3 2w → S4 18w → S1 13w → S4 5w → S3 3w → S2 3w → S3 3w → S4 19w → S1 9w → S4 6w → S1 3w → S2 37w → S3 2w → S4 14w current

Total tracked: 165 weeks across 17 stage runs.

ACRE among REIT - Mortgage19th of 38 by relative strength

All 38 →

Stocks in REIT - Mortgage ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#	Stock	Stage	RS	1M
1	NREFNexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 2	79	0.0%
2	ADAMAdamas Trust, Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 4	75	−8.3%
3	CHMICherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation	Stage 2 · wk 10	73	−4.4%
4	ARIApollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc	Stage 4 · wk 4	55	+0.6%
5	AGNCAGNC Investment Corp.	Stage 4 · wk 3	55	−9.1%
6	NLYAnnaly Capital Management Inc.	Stage 4 · wk 2	54	−9.5%
7	DXDynex Capital, Inc.	Stage 4 · wk 4	53	−4.3%
8	EFCEllington Financial Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 5	51	−5.3%
…19	ACREAres Commercial Real Estate Corporation	Stage 4 · wk 14	40	−19.8%

vs 52W High

-36.8%

$3.16 lo$5.16 hi

36.8% below 52W high, deep Stage 4 damage

In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.

Stage Maturity

Week 14

1w13w26w

Week 14, established downtrend

How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.

vs 200 DMA

-26.1%

200 DMA: $4.41 · sloping down

In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.

Rel Volume

1.12x

vs 50-day avg

High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.

Trend Health

↓

Short-term trend rolling over

Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.

-19.8%

-25.6%

-32.7%

YTD

-23.7%

-19.2%

Scan Membership

Breakout Watch

Latest: 2024-12-04

9 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2018-10-16.

A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.

Recent Stage Timeline

2026-10-22S4

Wk 14 · Vol 1.12x

2026-10-21S4

Wk 14 · Vol 1.69x

2026-10-20S4

Wk 14 · Vol 1.82x

2026-10-19S4

Wk 14 · Vol 2.14x

2026-10-16S4

Wk 13 · Vol 1.28x

2026-10-15S4

Wk 13 · Vol 1.60x

2026-10-14S4

Wk 13 · Vol 1.53x

2026-10-13S4

Wk 13 · Vol 1.12x

2026-10-12S4

Wk 13 · Vol 1.41x

2026-10-09S4

Wk 12 · Vol 1.23x

2026-10-08S4

Wk 12 · Vol 1.32x

2026-10-07S4

Wk 12 · Vol 1.14x

Moving averages & range

50 DMA

$4.06

200 DMA

$4.41

52W High

$5.16

52W Low

$3.16

5D Low

$3.16

Resistance levels (recent highs)

20d High

$4.04

60d High

$4.69

120d High

$4.88

250d High

$5.16

Next resistance

+23.8%

to 20d High

ROE

-0.9%

Profit margin -12.5%

Dividend Yield

18.99%

P/B 0.4

Ares Commercial Real Estate: quick answers

What stage is Ares Commercial Real Estate in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on Jul 17, 2026 and is in week 14. What the four stages mean

Is Ares Commercial Real Estate in an uptrend?

No. Ares Commercial Real Estate is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 26.1% below its 200-day average, which is falling.

How far is Ares Commercial Real Estate from its 52-week high?

Ares Commercial Real Estate closed at $3.26 on Oct 22, 2026, 36.8% below its 52-week high of $5.16. Its 52-week low is $3.16.

How has Ares Commercial Real Estate performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Ares Commercial Real Estate is down 19.2% over the past year and down 23.7% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is Ares Commercial Real Estate in?

Ares Commercial Real Estate is in the REIT - Mortgage industry, part of the Real Estate sector.

About this companyReal Estate· REIT - Mortgage

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation, a specialty finance company, engages in the originating and investing in commercial real estate (CRE) loans and related investments in the United States. The company provides loan opportunities for the owners, operators, and sponsors of CRE properties. Its investments includes senior mortgage loans, subordinate debt, preferred equity products, mezzanine loans, and other CRE investments, such as commercial mortgage-backed securities. It has elected and qualified to be taxed as a real estate investment trust for the United States federal income tax purposes under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986. Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation was incorporated in 2011 and is based in New York, New York.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.