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Octave Specialty Group, Inc.

Stage 4 · Declining · week 10

As of Oct 22, 2026, Octave Specialty Group is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in week 10 (since Aug 14, 2026). It closed at $4.72, 53.2% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is falling.

Octave Specialty Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, primarily engages in the specialty property and casualty insurance business in the United States and the United Kingdom. More about the company

$4.72
-0.21% today
$213M · Micro cap
Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Accelerating ⇈

Edge

—

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22
S4 14w
S4 16w
S4 25w
S4 18w
2023-08-162026-10-22
S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)
S4 14w → S1 4w → S2 12w → S3 9w → S2 5w → S3 4w → S4 16w → S1 12w → S4 25w → S1 12w → S2 7w → S3 6w → S4 18w → S1 11w → S4 10w current
Total tracked: 166 weeks across 15 stage runs.

OSG among Insurance - Specialty15th of 15 by relative strength

All 15 →
Stocks in Insurance - Specialty ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#StockStageRS1M
1ACTStage 3 · wk 178−1.7%
2EIGStage 3 · wk 476+10.3%
3AXSStage 4 · wk 466+9.9%
4NMIHStage 3 · wk 365−1.7%
5ITICStage 2 · wk 1664−1.0%
6ESNTStage 3 · wk 263+0.4%
7FAFStage 3 · wk 362−3.5%
8RDNStage 3 · wk 559+0.5%
…15OSGStage 4 · wk 1027+13.7%
vs 52W High
-53.2%
$3.94 lo$10.08 hi
53.2% below 52W high, deep Stage 4 damage
In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.
Stage Maturity
Week 10
1w13w26w
Week 10, established downtrend
How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.
vs 200 DMA
-10.3%
200 DMA: $5.26 · sloping down
In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.
Rel Volume
0.32x
vs 50-day avg
High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.
Trend Health
↗ ⇈
Short-term trend rising gently, and accelerating
Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.
1M
+13.7%
3M
-15.6%
6M
+2.8%
YTD
-36.8%
1Y
-42.9%
Scan Membership
Breakout Watch
Latest: 2024-05-17
8 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2019-09-05.
A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.
Recent Stage Timeline
2026-10-22S4
Wk 10 · Vol 0.32x
2026-10-21S4
Wk 10 · Vol 0.37x
2026-10-20S4
Wk 10 · Vol 0.39x
2026-10-19S4
Wk 10 · Vol 0.29x
2026-10-16S4
Wk 9 · Vol 0.65x
2026-10-15S4
Wk 9 · Vol 0.83x
2026-10-14S4
Wk 9 · Vol 0.44x
2026-10-13S4
Wk 9 · Vol 0.42x
2026-10-12S4
Wk 9 · Vol 0.41x
2026-10-09S4
Wk 8 · Vol 3.21x
2026-10-08S4
Wk 8 · Vol 1.64x
2026-10-07S4
Wk 8 · Vol 1.09x
Moving averages & range
50 DMA
$4.59
200 DMA
$5.26
52W High
$10.08
52W Low
$3.94
5D Low
$4.62
Resistance levels (recent highs)
20d High
$4.77
60d High
$5.68
120d High
$6.67
250d High
$10.08
Next resistance
+1.1%
to 20d High
ROE
-6.8%
Profit margin -51.1%
Dividend Yield
0.00%
P/B 0.3

Octave Specialty Group: quick answers

What stage is Octave Specialty Group in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Octave Specialty Group (OSG) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on Aug 14, 2026 and is in week 10. What the four stages mean

Is Octave Specialty Group in an uptrend?

No. Octave Specialty Group is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 10.3% below its 200-day average, which is falling.

How far is Octave Specialty Group from its 52-week high?

Octave Specialty Group closed at $4.72 on Oct 22, 2026, 53.2% below its 52-week high of $10.08. Its 52-week low is $3.94.

How has Octave Specialty Group performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Octave Specialty Group is down 42.9% over the past year and down 36.8% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is Octave Specialty Group in?

Octave Specialty Group is in the Insurance - Specialty industry, part of the Financials sector.

About this companyFinancials· Insurance - Specialty

Octave Specialty Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, primarily engages in the specialty property and casualty insurance business in the United States and the United Kingdom. It operates in two segments, Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance; and Insurance Distribution. The Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance segment provides specialty property and casualty program insurance with a focus on commercial and personal liability risks. The Insurance Distribution segment offers property, niche specialty risk, accident and health, miscellaneous specialty, reinsurance, surety, marine and energy, specialty auto, excess and surplus lines commercial package, professional lines, and directors' and officers' insurance. The company was formerly known as Ambac Financial Group, Inc. and changed its name to Octave Specialty Group, Inc. in November 2025. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.