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Nova Minerals Corp

Stage 4 · Declining · week 1

As of Oct 22, 2026, Nova Minerals is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in its first week (since Oct 21, 2026). It closed at $3.07, 72.4% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is falling.

Nova Minerals Corp operates as a mineral exploration and development company in the United States. More about the company

$3.07
-7.19% today
$117M · Micro cap
Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Steady

Edge

—

Is NVA early, or has it already run? Pro answers that for every US stock we cover, after every close.

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Stage Cycle Timeline2024-07-24 → 2026-10-22
S? 41w
S2 10w
S2 15w
S3 12w
S4 10w
2024-07-242026-10-22
S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)
S? 41w → S2 10w → S3 5w → S4 5w → S1 1w → S2 15w → S3 1w → S2 3w → S3 12w → S4 4w → S1 3w → S4 10w → S1 5w → S4 1w current
Total tracked: 116 weeks across 14 stage runs.

NVA among Other Industrial Metals & Mining25th of 59 by relative strength

All 59 →
Stocks in Other Industrial Metals & Mining ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#StockStageRS1M
1NEXAStage 3 · wk 395−12.7%
2MTRNStage 2 · wk 391−14.0%
3SKEStage 2 · wk 991−8.8%
4BHPStage 2 · wk 6384−8.7%
5RIOStage 2 · wk 776−11.7%
6SCZMStage 2 · wk 273−19.7%
7SGMLStage 4 · wk 1269−26.2%
8VALEStage 4 · wk 368−11.7%
…25NVAStage 4 · wk 121−45.2%
vs 52W High
-72.4%
$3.07 lo$11.13 hi
72.4% below 52W high, deep Stage 4 damage
In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.
Stage Maturity
Week 1
1w13w26w
Week 1, early Stage 4 decline
How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.
vs 200 DMA
-50.1%
200 DMA: $6.15 · sloping down
In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.
Rel Volume
1.06x
vs 50-day avg
High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.
Trend Health
↓
Short-term trend rolling over
Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.
1M
-45.2%
3M
-34.4%
6M
-50.2%
YTD
-52.0%
1Y
-55.3%
Scan Membership
Breakout Watch
Latest: 2026-01-26
3 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2025-05-09.
A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.
Recent Stage Timeline
2026-10-22S4
Wk 1 · Vol 1.06x
2026-10-21S41→4
Wk 1 · Vol 1.15x
2026-10-20S1
Wk 5 · Vol 1.13x
2026-10-19S1
Wk 5 · Vol 0.95x
2026-10-16S1
Wk 5 · Vol 1.64x
2026-10-15S1
Wk 5 · Vol 1.67x
2026-10-14S1
Wk 4 · Vol 1.32x
2026-10-13S1
Wk 4 · Vol 1.30x
2026-10-12S1
Wk 4 · Vol 0.75x
2026-10-09S1
Wk 4 · Vol 1.19x
2026-10-08S1
Wk 4 · Vol 0.81x
2026-10-07S1
Wk 3 · Vol 1.09x
Moving averages & range
50 DMA
$5.24
200 DMA
$6.15
52W High
$11.13
52W Low
$3.07
5D Low
$3.07
Resistance levels (recent highs)
20d High
$6.06
60d High
$6.49
120d High
$7.15
250d High
$11.13
Next resistance
+97.4%
to 20d High
ROE
-157.8%
Profit margin 0.0%
Dividend Yield
0.00%
P/B 5.1

Nova Minerals: quick answers

What stage is Nova Minerals in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Nova Minerals (NVA) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on Oct 21, 2026 and is in its first week there. What the four stages mean

Is Nova Minerals in an uptrend?

No. Nova Minerals is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 50.1% below its 200-day average, which is falling.

How far is Nova Minerals from its 52-week high?

Nova Minerals closed at $3.07 on Oct 22, 2026, 72.4% below its 52-week high of $11.13. Its 52-week low is $3.07.

How has Nova Minerals performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Nova Minerals is down 55.3% over the past year and down 52.0% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is Nova Minerals in?

Nova Minerals is in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry, part of the Materials sector.

About this companyMaterials· Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Nova Minerals Corp operates as a mineral exploration and development company in the United States. It primarily explores gold, antimony, and critical minerals. The company's flagship project is the Estelle Gold and Critical Minerals project covering 514 square kilometers located in Alaska. Nova Minerals Corp was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Greenwood Village, Colorado.

Visit company website →

All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.