MBIA Inc.

Stage 4 · Declining · week 12

As of Oct 22, 2026, MBIA is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in week 12 (since Aug 5, 2026). It closed at $4.42, 42.7% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is falling.

MBIA Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial guarantee insurance services to public finance markets in the United States. More about the company

$4.42

+0.23% today

$225M · Micro cap

Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Steady

Edge

—

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22

S4 14w

S2 19w

S4 15w

2023-08-162026-10-22

S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)

S1 2w → S4 14w → S1 2w → S2 19w → S3 11w → S4 15w → S1 6w → S2 12w → S3 8w → S4 12w → S1 5w → S2 11w → S3 5w → S2 5w → S3 7w → S4 13w → S1 7w → S4 11w current

Total tracked: 164 weeks across 18 stage runs.

MBI among Insurance - Specialty14th of 15 by relative strength

All 15 →

Stocks in Insurance - Specialty ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#	Stock	Stage	RS	1M
1	ACTEnact Holdings, Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 1	78	−1.7%
2	EIGEmployers Holdings Inc	Stage 3 · wk 4	76	+10.3%
3	AXSAxis Capital Holdings Limited	Stage 4 · wk 4	66	+9.9%
4	NMIHNMI Holdings Inc	Stage 3 · wk 3	65	−1.7%
5	ITICInvestors Title Company	Stage 2 · wk 16	64	−1.0%
6	ESNTEssent Group Ltd.	Stage 3 · wk 2	63	+0.4%
7	FAFFirst American Corporation (New)	Stage 3 · wk 3	62	−3.5%
8	RDNRadian Group Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 5	59	+0.5%
…14	MBIMBIA Inc.	Stage 4 · wk 12	30	−2.0%

vs 52W High

-42.7%

$4.26 lo$7.72 hi

42.7% below 52W high, deep Stage 4 damage

In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.

Stage Maturity

Week 12

1w13w26w

Week 12, established downtrend

How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.

vs 200 DMA

-23.0%

200 DMA: $5.74 · sloping down

In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.

Rel Volume

0.45x

vs 50-day avg

High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.

Trend Health

↓

Short-term trend rolling over

Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.

-2.0%

-21.9%

-26.7%

YTD

-36.1%

-36.5%

Scan Membership

Breakout Watch

Latest: 2024-12-18

8 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2018-10-16.

A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.

Recent Stage Timeline

2026-10-22S4

Wk 12 · Vol 0.45x

2026-10-21S4

Wk 11 · Vol 0.27x

2026-10-20S4

Wk 11 · Vol 0.47x

2026-10-19S4

Wk 11 · Vol 0.54x

2026-10-16S4

Wk 11 · Vol 0.41x

2026-10-15S4

Wk 11 · Vol 0.60x

2026-10-14S4

Wk 10 · Vol 0.80x

2026-10-13S4

Wk 10 · Vol 0.68x

2026-10-12S4

Wk 10 · Vol 0.36x

2026-10-09S4

Wk 10 · Vol 0.39x

2026-10-08S4

Wk 10 · Vol 0.57x

2026-10-07S4

Wk 9 · Vol 0.48x

Moving averages & range

50 DMA

$4.60

200 DMA

$5.74

52W High

$7.72

52W Low

$4.26

5D Low

$4.34

Resistance levels (recent highs)

20d High

$4.58

60d High

$5.37

120d High

$6.80

250d High

$7.72

Next resistance

+3.6%

to 20d High

Dividend Yield

0.00%

P/B -0.1

MBIA: quick answers

What stage is MBIA in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, MBIA (MBI) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on Aug 5, 2026 and is in week 12. What the four stages mean

Is MBIA in an uptrend?

No. MBIA is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 23.0% below its 200-day average, which is falling.

How far is MBIA from its 52-week high?

MBIA closed at $4.42 on Oct 22, 2026, 42.7% below its 52-week high of $7.72. Its 52-week low is $4.26.

How has MBIA performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, MBIA is down 36.5% over the past year and down 36.1% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is MBIA in?

MBIA is in the Insurance - Specialty industry, part of the Financials sector.

About this companyFinancials· Insurance - Specialty

MBIA Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial guarantee insurance services to public finance markets in the United States. It operates through United States (U.S.) Public Finance Insurance, Corporate, and International and Structured Finance Insurance segments. The company issues financial guarantees for municipal bonds, including tax-exempt and taxable indebtedness of the U.S. political subdivisions, as well as utilities, airports, health care institutions, higher educational facilities, housing authorities, and other similar agencies and obligations issued by private entities. It also insures non-U.S. public finance and global structured finance, including asset-backed obligations; sovereign-related and sub-sovereign bonds, utilities, and privately issued bonds used for the financing for toll roads, bridges, public transportation facilities, and other types of infrastructure projects; and structured finance and asset-backed obligations comprising residential and commercial mortgages, consumer loans, and structured settlements. as well as offers third-party reinsurance agreements. MBIA Inc. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.