Golub Capital BDC, Inc.

Stage 3 · Topping · week 2

As of Oct 22, 2026, Golub Capital BDC is in Stage 3, the topping phase, now in week 2 (since Oct 13, 2026). It closed at $12.19, 7.0% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is falling.

Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) is a Private Debt, business development company and operates as an externally managed closed-end non-diversified management investment company. More about the company

$12.19

+0.99% today

$3.2B · Mid cap

Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Topping: the uptrend is tiring

Setup score

—

Momentum

Steady

Edge

—

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22

S2 46w

S2 22w

S2 13w

2023-08-162026-10-22

S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)

S2 46w → S3 9w → S4 6w → S1 3w → S2 22w → S3 7w → S4 3w → S1 1w → S2 13w → S3 2w → S4 10w → S1 8w → S4 11w → S1 5w → S2 6w → S3 4w → S2 9w → S3 1w current

Total tracked: 166 weeks across 18 stage runs.

GBDC among Asset Management56th of 140 by relative strength

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2	AMTDAMTD IDEA Group Class A	Stage 2 · wk 1	99	+4011.1%
3	MGLDThe Marygold Companies, Inc.	Stage 2 · wk 4	94	+105.2%
4	AAMIAcadian Asset Management Inc.	Stage 2 · wk 41	94	+1.4%
5	ASSTStrive, Inc. Class A	Stage 2 · wk 7	92	+0.1%
6	AMGAffiliated Managers Group, Inc.	Stage 2 · wk 21	91	+8.0%
7	WTWisdomTree, Inc.	Stage 2 · wk 39	91	−10.6%
8	VCTRVictory Capital Holdings, Inc.	Stage 2 · wk 39	91	+1.0%
…56	GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc.	Stage 3 · wk 2	51	−2.1%

vs 52W High

-7.0%

$11.08 lo$13.11 hi

7.0% below 52W high, weakening from peak

The stock is rolling over from its 52-week high. In Stage 3 distribution, new long positions carry high risk.

Stage Maturity

Week 2

1w13w26w

Week 2, early distribution

How long this stock has been in Stage 3 distribution. Longer tops often precede deeper Stage 4 declines.

vs 200 DMA

-1.0%

200 DMA: $12.32 · sloping down

Stock is losing its 200 DMA. Once lost, it confirms Stage 4 risk. This is a major red flag for existing holders.

Rel Volume

1.16x

vs 50-day avg

Volume spikes on down days during Stage 3 signal distribution, with institutions exiting. Stage analysis reads that as a warning against new long positions.

Trend Health

↓

Short-term trend rolling over

Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.

-2.1%

-2.0%

YTD

-2.8%

-3.6%

Scan Membership

Breakout Watch

Latest: 2025-06-25

9 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2018-10-16.

A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.

Recent Stage Timeline

2026-10-22S3

Wk 2 · Vol 1.16x

2026-10-21S3

Wk 2 · Vol 0.81x

2026-10-20S3

Wk 2 · Vol 1.54x

2026-10-19S3

Wk 1 · Vol 1.04x

2026-10-16S3

Wk 1 · Vol 0.65x

2026-10-15S3

Wk 1 · Vol 1.19x

2026-10-14S3

Wk 1 · Vol 0.90x

2026-10-13S32→3

Wk 1 · Vol 0.71x

2026-10-12S2

Wk 9 · Vol 0.64x

2026-10-09S2

Wk 9 · Vol 1.10x

2026-10-08S2

Wk 9 · Vol 1.31x

2026-10-07S2

Wk 9 · Vol 1.50x

Moving averages & range

50 DMA

$12.50

200 DMA

$12.32

52W High

$13.11

52W Low

$11.08

5D Low

$12.00

Resistance levels (recent highs)

20d High

$12.65

60d High

$13.05

120d High

$13.05

250d High

$13.11

Next resistance

+3.8%

to 20d High

P/E (TTM)

18.5

Forward 9.6

Earnings Growth (YoY)

-35.1%

Revenue -14.0%

ROE

+4.5%

Profit margin +21.4%

Dividend Yield

11.02%

P/B 0.9

Golub Capital BDC: quick answers

What stage is Golub Capital BDC in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Golub Capital BDC (GBDC) is in Stage 3, the topping phase. It entered Stage 3 on Oct 13, 2026 and is in week 2. What the four stages mean

Is Golub Capital BDC in an uptrend?

Its uptrend has stalled. Golub Capital BDC is in Stage 3, the topping phase that follows an advance. It trades 1.0% below its 200-day average, which is falling.

How far is Golub Capital BDC from its 52-week high?

Golub Capital BDC closed at $12.19 on Oct 22, 2026, 7.0% below its 52-week high of $13.11. Its 52-week low is $11.08.

How has Golub Capital BDC performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Golub Capital BDC is down 3.6% over the past year and down 2.8% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is Golub Capital BDC in?

Golub Capital BDC is in the Asset Management industry, part of the Financials sector.

About this companyFinancials· Asset Management

Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) is a Private Debt, business development company and operates as an externally managed closed-end non-diversified management investment company. It invests in debt and minority equity investments in middle-market companies that are, in most cases, sponsored by private equity investors. It typically invests in diversified consumer services, automobiles, healthcare technology, insurance, health care equipment and supplies, hotels, restaurants and leisure, healthcare providers and services, IT services and specialty retails. It seeks to invest in the United States. It primarily invests in first lien traditional senior debt, first lien one stop, junior debt and equity, senior secured, one stop, unitranche, second lien, subordinated and mezzanine loans of middle-market companies, and warrants.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.