BLBD· Industrials› Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Blue Bird Corporation

Stage 4 · Declining · week 3

As of Oct 22, 2026, Blue Bird is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in week 3 (since Oct 7, 2026). It closed at $56.73, 30.4% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is rising.

Blue Bird Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses in the United States, Canada, and internationally. More about the company

$56.73

-0.68% today

$1.9B · Small cap

Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Steady

Edge

—

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22

S2 32w

S3 14w

S4 24w

S2 18w

S3 13w

S2 27w

2023-08-162026-10-22

S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)

S3 10w → S4 7w → S1 2w → S2 32w → S3 14w → S4 24w → S1 7w → S2 18w → S3 13w → S2 27w → S3 7w → S4 2w current

Total tracked: 165 weeks across 12 stage runs.

BLBD among Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery9th of 26 by relative strength

All 26 →

Stocks in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#	Stock	Stage	RS	1M
1	MTWThe Manitowoc Company, Inc.	Stage 2 · wk 18	94	−1.5%
2	WNCWabash National Corporation	Stage 2 · wk 1	85	+12.0%
3	DEDeere & Company	Stage 2 · wk 17	83	−9.1%
4	CATCaterpillar, Inc.	Stage 4 · wk 1	79	−13.3%
5	GENCGencor Industries, Inc.	Stage 2 · wk 14	73	+0.5%
6	ARTWArt's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc.	Stage 2 · wk 9	69	−5.0%
7	PCARPACCAR Inc.	Stage 4 · wk 2	64	−2.2%
8	CNHCNH Industrial N.V.	Stage 2 · wk 13	62	−15.8%
9	BLBDBlue Bird Corporation	Stage 4 · wk 3	55	−2.3%

vs 52W High

-30.4%

$46.59 lo$81.50 hi

30.4% below 52W high, ongoing decline

In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.

Stage Maturity

Week 3

1w13w26w

Week 3, early Stage 4 decline

How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.

vs 200 DMA

-9.8%

200 DMA: $62.92 · rising

In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.

Rel Volume

0.96x

vs 50-day avg

High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.

Trend Health

↓

Short-term trend rolling over

Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.

-2.3%

-25.6%

-10.7%

YTD

+21.3%

+1.7%

Scan Membership

Breakout Watch

Latest: 2024-01-03

6 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2018-10-16.

A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.

Recent Stage Timeline

2026-10-22S4

Wk 3 · Vol 0.96x

2026-10-21S4

Wk 3 · Vol 0.74x

2026-10-20S4

Wk 2 · Vol 1.04x

2026-10-19S4

Wk 2 · Vol 2.14x

2026-10-16S4

Wk 2 · Vol 3.36x

2026-10-15S4

Wk 2 · Vol 0.97x

2026-10-14S4

Wk 2 · Vol 1.24x

2026-10-13S4

Wk 1 · Vol 0.50x

2026-10-12S4

Wk 1 · Vol 0.35x

2026-10-09S4

Wk 1 · Vol 0.61x

2026-10-08S4

Wk 1 · Vol 0.48x

2026-10-07S43→4

Wk 1 · Vol 0.92x

Moving averages & range

50 DMA

$59.35

200 DMA

$62.92

52W High

$81.50

52W Low

$46.59

5D Low

$55.72

Resistance levels (recent highs)

20d High

$58.12

60d High

$77.83

120d High

$81.50

250d High

$81.50

Next resistance

+2.5%

to 20d High

P/E (TTM)

6.7

Forward 12.7

Earnings Growth (YoY)

+370.5%

Revenue +29.9%

ROE

+64.3%

Profit margin +17.5%

Dividend Yield

0.00%

P/B 2.7

Blue Bird: quick answers

What stage is Blue Bird in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Blue Bird (BLBD) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on Oct 7, 2026 and is in week 3. What the four stages mean

Is Blue Bird in an uptrend?

No. Blue Bird is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 9.8% below its 200-day average, which is rising.

How far is Blue Bird from its 52-week high?

Blue Bird closed at $56.73 on Oct 22, 2026, 30.4% below its 52-week high of $81.50. Its 52-week low is $46.59.

How has Blue Bird performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Blue Bird is up 1.7% over the past year and up 21.3% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is Blue Bird in?

Blue Bird is in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry, part of the Industrials sector.

About this companyIndustrials· Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Blue Bird Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. It offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative power options through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses, as well as diesel engines. The company also sells replacement bus parts; and provides extended warranties related to its products. Blue Bird Corporation sells its products through drop ship and a network of dealers, as well as directly to fleet operators, the United States government, and state governments; independent service centers; and maintains a parts distribution center. It has a collaboration with Ford Motor Company to create the next generation of F-53/F-59 commercial stripped chassis. Blue Bird Corporation was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia.

Visit company website →

All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.