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BigBear.ai, Inc.

Stage 4 · Declining · week 15

As of Oct 22, 2026, BigBear.ai is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in week 15 (since Jul 14, 2026). It closed at $2.13, 70.3% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is falling.

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions for national security, supply chain management, and digital identity markets. More about the company

$2.13
-2.74% today
$1.0B · Small cap
Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Steady

Edge

—

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22
S4 14w
S4 15w
S2 17w
S2 15w
S4 14w
S4 14w
2023-08-162026-10-22
S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)
S4 14w → S1 12w → S2 10w → S3 4w → S4 15w → S1 12w → S2 17w → S3 10w → S2 15w → S3 4w → S2 9w → S3 8w → S4 14w → S1 8w → S4 14w current
Total tracked: 166 weeks across 15 stage runs.

BBAI among Information Technology Services61st of 79 by relative strength

All 79 →
Stocks in Information Technology Services ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#StockStageRS1M
1MGRTStage 2 · wk 999−7.5%
2CHRNStage 3 · wk 698−24.6%
3MAASStage 3 · wk 498−17.1%
4SAIHStage 2 · wk 2598−19.1%
5PENGStage 2 · wk 297−3.7%
6SAICStage 2 · wk 2084+8.3%
7IBEXStage 2 · wk 1074+10.0%
8INGMStage 3 · wk 873+0.7%
…61BBAIStage 4 · wk 1515−25.0%
vs 52W High
-70.3%
$2.12 lo$7.17 hi
70.3% below 52W high, deep Stage 4 damage
In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.
Stage Maturity
Week 15
1w13w26w
Week 15, established downtrend
How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.
vs 200 DMA
-42.7%
200 DMA: $3.72 · sloping down
In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.
Rel Volume
0.85x
vs 50-day avg
High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.
Trend Health
↓
Short-term trend rolling over
Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.
1M
-25.0%
3M
-22.8%
6M
-42.9%
YTD
-63.5%
1Y
-69.9%
Scan Membership
Breakout Watch
Latest: 2025-06-06
6 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2022-04-29.
A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.
Recent Stage Timeline
2026-10-22S4
Wk 15 · Vol 0.85x
2026-10-21S4
Wk 15 · Vol 0.82x
2026-10-20S4
Wk 14 · Vol 0.75x
2026-10-19S4
Wk 14 · Vol 0.71x
2026-10-16S4
Wk 14 · Vol 0.90x
2026-10-15S4
Wk 14 · Vol 0.86x
2026-10-14S4
Wk 14 · Vol 1.18x
2026-10-13S4
Wk 13 · Vol 2.09x
2026-10-12S4
Wk 13 · Vol 0.82x
2026-10-09S4
Wk 13 · Vol 0.67x
2026-10-08S4
Wk 13 · Vol 1.36x
2026-10-07S4
Wk 13 · Vol 1.05x
Moving averages & range
50 DMA
$2.77
200 DMA
$3.72
52W High
$7.17
52W Low
$2.12
5D Low
$2.12
Resistance levels (recent highs)
20d High
$2.80
60d High
$3.34
120d High
$5.34
250d High
$7.17
Next resistance
+31.5%
to 20d High
ROE
-16.6%
Profit margin -65.2%
Dividend Yield
0.00%
P/B 1.3

BigBear.ai: quick answers

What stage is BigBear.ai in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, BigBear.ai (BBAI) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on Jul 14, 2026 and is in week 15. What the four stages mean

Is BigBear.ai in an uptrend?

No. BigBear.ai is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 42.7% below its 200-day average, which is falling.

How far is BigBear.ai from its 52-week high?

BigBear.ai closed at $2.13 on Oct 22, 2026, 70.3% below its 52-week high of $7.17. Its 52-week low is $2.12.

How has BigBear.ai performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, BigBear.ai is down 69.9% over the past year and down 63.5% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is BigBear.ai in?

BigBear.ai is in the Information Technology Services industry, part of the Information Technology sector.

About this companyInformation Technology· Information Technology Services

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions for national security, supply chain management, and digital identity markets. It offers supply chain and logistics solutions, such as Data Conflation at Scale, which offers a view of operations enabling real-time tracking of inventory and facilitating predictive analytics to optimize functions, including routes and delivery times; Discrete Event Simulation, a course of action analysis and digital twin solution; and Next-Gen Decision Support solution for macroeconomic and geopolitical forecasting. The company also provides cybersecurity solutions, such as artificial intelligence (AI)-powered/machine-accelerated binary analysis, cyber-physical systems vulnerability testing and evaluation, vulnerability assessment as a service, and specialized services for the department of defense and intelligence community; and autonomous systems solutions, AI/machine learning (ML) decision intelligence solutions, and AI orchestration as a service, as well as specialized consulting services. In addition, it offers digital identity services comprising security solutions specializing in customized digital identity, biometrics, AI/ML, and advanced analytics software and solutions for global trade, travel, and digital identity industries; and Ask Sage Platform, a generative AI platform for secure AI deployment, orchestration, and agentic capabilities across defense, intelligence, and other highly regulated environments. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.