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Alcoa Corporation

Stage 4 · Declining · week 11

As of Oct 22, 2026, Alcoa is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase, now in week 11 (since Aug 6, 2026). It closed at $38.70, 53.7% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is falling.

Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production, and energy generation business in Australia, Brazil, Canada, Iceland, Norway, S… More about the company

$38.70
-4.44% today
$10.2B · Large cap
Market Neutral — Building

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining, below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Steady

Edge

—

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Stage Cycle Timeline2023-08-16 → 2026-10-22
S4 18w
S2 17w
S4 20w
S2 39w
2023-08-162026-10-22
S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)
S4 18w → S1 10w → S4 4w → S1 1w → S2 17w → S3 6w → S4 4w → S1 1w → S2 11w → S3 6w → S4 20w → S1 13w → S2 39w → S3 5w → S4 11w current
Total tracked: 166 weeks across 15 stage runs.

AA among Aluminum4th of 4 by relative strength

All 4 →
Stocks in Aluminum ranked by relative strength, with stage and one-month change
#StockStageRS1M
1CSTMStage 4 · wk 486−3.9%
2KALUStage 3 · wk 1385−26.4%
3CENXStage 4 · wk 1059−15.9%
4AAStage 4 · wk 1158−12.1%
vs 52W High
-53.7%
$35.08 lo$83.63 hi
53.7% below 52W high, deep Stage 4 damage
In Stage 4, distance from the 52-week high reflects an ongoing decline, not a discount.
Stage Maturity
Week 11
1w13w26w
Week 11, established downtrend
How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure. No length of decline marks a bottom on its own.
vs 200 DMA
-32.1%
200 DMA: $57.00 · sloping down
In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200-day average, the hallmark of a downtrend. Stage analysis waits for that to reverse before buying.
Rel Volume
1.22x
vs 50-day avg
High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low-volume bounces are typical. They lack real buyers and are easy to mistake for reversals.
Trend Health
↓
Short-term trend rolling over
Two reads of momentum. The arrow shows the direction of the short-term trend: rising (↑ or ↗), flat (→) or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ mark appears when our trend model reads the move as gaining speed on top of the longer trend. Strongest when both agree.
1M
-12.1%
3M
-12.4%
6M
-40.6%
YTD
-31.2%
1Y
+4.8%
Scan Membership
Breakout Watch
Latest: 2024-10-15
7 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2020-09-01.
A stock that keeps qualifying week after week does so because its Stage 2 structure keeps holding. Staying power in the scan says more about the trend than any single appearance.
Recent Stage Timeline
2026-10-22S4
Wk 11 · Vol 1.22x
2026-10-21S4
Wk 11 · Vol 0.65x
2026-10-20S4
Wk 11 · Vol 1.24x
2026-10-19S4
Wk 11 · Vol 1.42x
2026-10-16S4
Wk 11 · Vol 3.12x
2026-10-15S4
Wk 10 · Vol 1.87x
2026-10-14S4
Wk 10 · Vol 1.31x
2026-10-13S4
Wk 10 · Vol 1.09x
2026-10-12S4
Wk 10 · Vol 1.20x
2026-10-09S4
Wk 10 · Vol 0.96x
2026-10-08S4
Wk 9 · Vol 0.98x
2026-10-07S4
Wk 9 · Vol 0.84x
Moving averages & range
50 DMA
$46.01
200 DMA
$57.00
52W High
$83.63
52W Low
$35.08
5D Low
$38.70
Resistance levels (recent highs)
20d High
$43.49
60d High
$54.08
120d High
$83.63
250d High
$83.63
Next resistance
+12.4%
to 20d High
P/E (TTM)
6.7
Forward 7.4
Earnings Growth (YoY)
+105.7%
Revenue +23.7%
ROE
+20.6%
Profit margin +10.7%
Dividend Yield
0.98%
P/B 1.2

Alcoa: quick answers

What stage is Alcoa in?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Alcoa (AA) is in Stage 4, the downtrend phase. It entered Stage 4 on Aug 6, 2026 and is in week 11. What the four stages mean

Is Alcoa in an uptrend?

No. Alcoa is in a Stage 4 downtrend. It trades 32.1% below its 200-day average, which is falling.

How far is Alcoa from its 52-week high?

Alcoa closed at $38.70 on Oct 22, 2026, 53.7% below its 52-week high of $83.63. Its 52-week low is $35.08.

How has Alcoa performed over the past year?

As of Oct 22, 2026, Alcoa is up 4.8% over the past year and down 31.2% so far in 2026.

Which sector and industry is Alcoa in?

Alcoa is in the Aluminum industry, part of the Materials sector.

About this companyMaterials· Aluminum

Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production, and energy generation business in Australia, Brazil, Canada, Iceland, Norway, Spain, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Alumina and Aluminum. It operates bauxite and other aluminous ores mining and processes bauxite into alumina for sale to aluminum smelter customers and customers who process it into industrial chemical products through supply contracts to third parties, as well as aluminum smelting and casting businesses. The company also offers aluminium powder and scrap and primary aluminum in the form of commodity grade ingot and value-add ingot to customers that produce products for transportation, building and construction, packaging, wire, and other industrial markets. In addition, it provides energy that generates and sells electricity in the wholesale market to traders, large industrial consumers, distribution companies, and other generation companies. The company was formerly known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation and changed its name to Alcoa Corporation in May 2016. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-22. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.